Brazil v Colombia (21.00 GMT)
The Colombians have really impressed thus far, symptoms they have won all four of their matches scoring 11 goals in the process and only conceding 2. James Rodriguez has been the star of the team with 5 goals and 2 assists and his goal against Uruguay is being touted as the Goal of the Tournament whilst Brazil have the highest rated (Castrol Index) in the cup with David Luiz. Brazil came through their group without much trouble but had a tough game against the Chileans in the last round where they were taken to penalties and were saved by the bar in the last minute of extra-time.
Looking at the head-to-head record between the two sides shows that it have been close in their last few games, check all of the last four have ended in draws and three of those have ended in 0-0 draws. Colombia have not beaten Brazil since 1991 when securing a 2-0 win in the Copa America which is an 11 match unbeaten run for the hosts over their opponents today.
Brazil have scored eight goals in their matches whilst conceding just three, they have also allowed the fewest shots on target in the competition whilst Colombia have been scoring plenty, eleven goals in their four matches and have only conceded two goals. This could end up an attack fest with both sides trying to outscore each other and I believe that Colombia will give the hosts a real test here but The KO stages have been tight edgy affairs and history between the two sides would suggest a lack of goals, BTTS looks the most likely outcome to me.
Both Teams To Score at 2.05 (BetVictor)
Here we have the hosts and tournament favourites against the underdogs and unlikely quarter-finalists.
Brazil look under-priced considering how they have played but are still only a few games away from the glory of winning yet another WC
Colombia have shed the impression many had of them being half-decent but not good enough to really get this far – they have proven they are a decent side and have played some great football albeit not quite as attacking as they could have been – they opened well with a 3-0 win over Greece which looks better now than it did then, and have the top scorer in the tournament in Rodriguez
Colombia have lost just 4 of their last 32 matches in all comps (incl friendlies) and they can be the surprise package once more as I think they could hold Brazil who rely too much on some magic from Neymar – this could be another tight tough game for the hosts and could they sneak through another penalty shootout?
BTTS is 2.1 best, draw is 3.9 best, penalty shootout is 8.0 so these 3 attract me as I think 1-1 is the call, with a very nervy draining ET period – Brazil if they get the luck could nick it 2-1 however and that’s about 8.0 so that’s not bad for those who think they will progress