Stage 5 Preview
It was an exciting day for just the 4th day of the Vuelta. The stage did not let us down as we could see the team buses line the roads on the way up the road to nowhere. It was an interesting finish with slight up hill meaning debate was divided on who might contend. The steep climb 30km had no effect as while it cracked a few it wasn’t long enough to allow the first over to pull away from so far out. In the end Moreno launched a very smart attack off the original attack of Flecha.
The hard work of Katusha was rewarded with the stage win and makes up for being outsmarted by Roche the other day. Cancellera who was the strongest in the chase came home 2nd and may have cost Horner the leaders jersey in doing so. Matthews someone I had discussed got himself home in 3rd. Followers of blog would have been rewarded with my biggest bet so far coming in with a few places difference. And again we took on Gilbert in the winners market.
As always nothing is flat in this part of the country and the middle third is pretty up and down before a few tests at the finish. My Stage 5 will follow in the morning. This stage should prove the most suitable so far for the sprinters I expect we see a few more of them than we did yesterday. The profile is still far from straight forward and taking on the likes of Tyler Farrar at the head of the market seems a smart move. Astana may decide they do not want the red jersey and allow the break to go away for the day should it suit. However their are many teams with interests in stage wins to chase it back. If the break contains 10 or more riders then it could become a bit more likely as with less teams wanting to chase the break may have a chance.
Boassen Hagen is fancied to do well here but he still has a hell of a lot to prove he was 6th yesterday on a finish that suited, but surely Meersman and Matthews have his number at the moment. The finish has been made all the more interesting by race organizers putting in a 90° corner with just 600 meters to go to the line. This rewards those with support to get them into this in front and its likely we some of the sprints launched coming out of here. Warren Barguil is new on my map, down as a climber he seems to be more of puncheur his best results are coming on days like yesterday, and the neo pro is proving quiet useful.
.25pts Meersman 9/1 boylesports
.25pts Matthews 15/2 888sport
1pt Meersman to beat Matthews 2.25 pinnacle
2pts Bole to beat ROux 1.92 pinnacle
1pt Majka to beat Zubeldia 2.28 pinnacle
1pt Roche to beat Mollema 2.08 888sport