Guest Post from betadvisor
Another week of European football action means plenty more opportunities to make some money through clever betting. Here are five things to look out for this weekend, treatment with some betting tips attached:
1 – Can Aston Villa Humble Man City in the FA Cup?
Eighteen places and 31 points separate these two sides in the Premier League, but there is a feeling that Aston Villa can humble Man City when they meet in the FA Cup on Saturday. City, shorn off the talents of Kevin de Bruyne to injury for the next ten weeks, will not want to risk injuries to their other top talents like David Silva and Sergio Aguero. Aston Villa are improving very slowly under Remi Garde, and are now unbeaten in three games at home. Man City, meanwhile, have won just once in eight away fixtures. Who stands to win more if they are triumphant here? It’s Villa, without question. That motivation could be all they need, and priced at 5.25 they are a huge price. But the more appropriate of today’s betting tips would be to back Aston Villa with the Double Chance security at 2.23.
2 – Handicapped Bayern Rise to the Occasion
All punters are aware of the absolute dominance of Bayern Munich at their Allianz Arena home, but if you’re not then here is some perspective: they’ve claimed nine wins from nine in the Bundesliga thus far; scoring an average of 3.55 goals per game and conceding 0.33. On Sunday they entertain Hoffenheim, a side bedraggled in the bottom three of the table and who struggle spectacularly on their travels: they’ve taken six points from a possible 27, score less than a goal per game on average and concede 1.44. When you put these statistics into a metaphorical super data computer, the inference is that Bayern will win by at least two clear goals, if everything goes according to plan. Ergo, one of the more sensible football betting tips doing the rounds is to back the Bayern -2 Handicap, which is available at 1.80.
3 – Top Two Battle For Supremacy in La Liga
Don’t believe the hype; that’s the Betadvisor.com view as Barcelona clash with Atletico Madrid at the Nou Camp on Saturday. This is a Barca side that has scored 18 goals in their last six matches, and their last four at home read 2-2, 4-0, 4-0 and 6-0. Granted, Atletico are unbeaten in five matches and haven’t conceded a single goal in those outings. But their record against the top four teams thus far reads W0 D1 L2, and Barcelona haven’t lost to them at the Nou Camp in a decade, winning nine of 13 meetings. As further evidence, the respective goal tallies in those 13 games read 35-9 in Barca’s favour. The easiest of this weekend’s betting tips is backing Barcelona to win at 1.53. Historically, Barcelona with a -1 Handicap would have come in 54% of occasions, and that is available at 2.40. But discretion is recommended given Diego Simeone’s side’s defensive organisation.
4 – Could a ‘Cheeky’ Trip to Chievo End Juve’s Winning Run?
With Juventus winning eleven matches on the spin and Chievo winning just once since Christmas, you’d be forgiven for thinking that this encounter is a foregone conclusion. Juve top the form table as you might expect, while Chievo are resolutely in mid-table. But Chievo tend to be a tough nut to crack at home, having drawn 50% of their last eight matches on home soil. They have been beaten in just 30% of their home matches all season – and so 70% of Double Chance bets would have been successful. This is one of those football betting tips for punters who like to take a bit of a gamble, but either the draw (4.05) or Chievo Double Chance (2.60) are available at lucrative prices.
5 – Will it Be Raining Goals in Holland?
The Eredivisie has never been shy of a goal or two, and one team in particular – FC Twente – pokes it head above the parapet as far as net-busting is concerned. They have returned Over 2.5 Goals verdicts in 89% of their home encounters; with 67% of those going Over 3.5 Goals. On Sunday they host an FC Utrecht side that has gone Over 2.5 Goals in 55% of their away matches, and so all the signs point towards a goal fest when they meet. At a price of 1.60, backing the Overs market here is one of those football betting tips that has a 72% statistical chance of coming in; and they don’t come along all that often.