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Football: Premier League Preview – Sat 1st Nov Weekend

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Premier League Predictions – Sat 1st – Mon 3rd November

Premier League Matches

Soccer_Premier_LeagueSaturday 1st Nov
1245pm Newcastle v Liverpool
3pm Arsenal v Burnley
Chelsea v QPR
Everton v Swansea
Hull v Southampton
Leicester v West Brom
Stoke v West Ham

Sunday 2nd Nov
130pm Man City v Man Utd
4pm Aston Villa v Spurs 

Mon 3rd Nov
8pm Crystal Palace v Sunderland

Here is our Preview of the football action for this week’s action in the Premier League – with analysis, comment and free tips as always.

Premier League Table >

PL Table 31 Oct

Villa on a run of 5 defeats without scoring, Hammers and Saints keeping their good form going up near the top of the table

Newcastle v Liverpool > Improving Newcastle, on the back of 3 wins in 2 weeks, face a stuttering Liverpool side who are clearly lacking in confidence and missing their key forwards of last term (one sold, one injured). Liverpool have had 20 of their last 22 away league games result in Over 2.5 goals (21 of thier last 35 have seen over 3.5 goals too!). Newcastle have had over 2.5 in 6 of their last 8 homes so there looks to be a chance of that being a popular bet

Arsenal v Burnley > The price reflects the likely result. Arsenal have lost just 1 of their last 32 home league games but they have drawn 6 of their last 11; Burnley are still looking for that elusive first win although they did manage a 2-2 at Leicester last away game – they have shipped 12 goals in their last 4 however so will be hard pushed to stop the hosts scoring. This could be any score really, a 5-2 wouldn’t be unusual but also a dull 2-0 home win is likely

Chelsea v QPR > banker home win for sure but you do get the occasional daft result even at Chelsea who don’t tend to lose home games under JM. Jan 2013 saw a woeful QPR side nick a win here which was pretty astonishing at that time. Note, 7 of the last 11 meetings between these two sides have ended in a 1-0 scoreline. Chelsea have lost just 10 of their last 110 home league games whilst QPR have won just 2 of their last 36 in the top flight. Odds chasers will like the huge price on QPR but the heavy hitters will probably be piling on on Chelsea – an avoid for me although laying the home side for a while might be a good move

Everton v Swansea > Everton seem to be tightening up at the back and are looking more like their old selves whilst the Swans found a much-needed win last week courtesy of the useful Bony. The Toffees have lost 4 of their last 7 homes (after a run of losing just 2 in 39) and are conceding way too many although two good wins have helped them climb the table in the past fortnight. Swansea started off winning at Utd this season but have tailed off since – they are more than capable of making life tricky though here

Hull v Southampton > Southampton are making a mockery of the pre-season pundits who said they would struggle – they are flying high by picking up 3pts regularly. They may settle a bit as they meet some decent sides and find things tougher but confidence is a wonderful thing so they will probably expect to win here – Hull are awkward opponents and have shown they can score against most teams so perhaps a 1-2 or 2-2 could be the call

Leicester v WBA > the edge is with the away side but this is one of those any result is likely games – hard to call and I’d settle for a draw

Stoke v West Ham > In-form WH travel to Stoke in what would usually be a game bereft of any decent football, but the Hammers have started playing some decent stuff, knocking it around well and injecting some pace into their side – results have followed and they are going well. I expect them to hit a wall as they often do but until then they may well inflict further misery on a Stoke side who used to be really solid at home but have faltered a bit.  A 1-1 draw is the sensible shout here however

City v Utd > the big Manchester derby sees a mis-firing City hosting an improving Van Gaal team; logic would say a home win but you never know – City have found a way to lose at home and Utd are starting to get some results but derby games tend to ignore form and are usually a case of who wants it more on the day. If City get their act together they should win 3-1 but Utd will be well up for making this awkward and a daft 3-3 draw crosses my mind. I might go for over 3.5 and 4.5 or so here as it could be a goalfest

Villa v Spurs > Spurs have this knack of letting teams in poor form pick up points against them, so this is a bang on home win! Villa started with 3 wins and a draw but then ran into the big guns and have now lost 5 on the spin. Interesting stat: Leeds/Watford have had 5 managers between them since Villa last scored a goal! (daft but true!). Spurs look better away currently so long as they press and keep the tempo high, an early goal and they may settle well – confidence is low though and Villa will be desperate to get their season back on track so a tense, nervy and scrappy game is likely. Perhaps a 1-1 or 2-1 away win but the contrary view is that Spurs are ideal fodder for Villa to get their form back!

Palace v Sunderland > Another game that looks like a probable home win. Value is more with Sunderland as they look to turn things around after that heavy defeat two games back and I can see them grabbing a point here.

Advised Bets >

Stoke v West Ham Draw @ 3.45

City v Utd Over 2.5 goals @ 1.68, over 3.5 goals @ 2.6, BTTS @ 1.64

Newcastle v Liverpool Over 2.5@ 1.84

Newcastle +0.5 AH @ 1.87

Villa +0.5 AH @ 1.85

Villa Spurs HT draw @ 2.16

Sunderland +0.5 AH @ 1.84

QPR +2 AH @ 2.12

Hull v Southampton BTTS @ 1.88

 

 

 

 

About Author

* UK born, now live in sunny Australia * Specialise in golf & football but also dabble on the nags, cricket, US sports, AFL, etc * Always looking to go against the flow and tend to trade most of the time

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