Giro Stage 15 Preview
So stage 14 was quiet exciting in the end with plenty going on including a strong break getting away and a few riders looking to attack from the bunch. Both Basso and Kiserlovski had a hard day at the office. And Uran did not make things easy on himself either. Evans only passed him at the sprint at the end so he chances are looking vulnerable. Quintana is getting stronger while Pozzovivo is looking confident. Aru, Majka and Keldermann all showed they can contend for a top 3 push.
Onto Giro Stage 15 a much simpler day with just the single climb at the end of the day. The day is going be much easier on the broomwagon as it will see almost all of the bunch make it to the start of the final from their expect the group to dwindle quiet quickly with the likes of Ag2r and Movistar highly likely to set a high pace. Expect OPQS to try leave Poels fresh for the climb and limit destroying the support Uran has before the climb. At 225km they made this a tad long so interesting what kind of break gets way. For a climb this long they might want at least a 5 minute headstart.
The final climb is really what this stage is all about the climb is just over 19km. It has a little entry were it welcomes you to the climb giving you time to get in the right spot. From then on it climbs at around 8% till we hit a little flat spot. Just after that it hits its hardest point of 12%. Its then pretty though from there for a while till they hit a large false flat. The shallow section is about 3km and will give some time to recover. The final 5km are were we will likely see the most fireworks. Its nearly 9% so expect the cracks to open here and Pozzovivo and Quintana to enjoy it once again. It climbs all the way to the top.So Quintana and Pozzovivo are obvious choices but who else can we look at. Quintana is no price but Pozzovivo backers might find the 4/1 on him tempting I did seriously consider it and might bite for a back to lay on him. Of the outsiders Fabio Aru is really impressing me with his climbing if a little let down by the rest of his game. He is 25/1 here but could be matched at 30s plus he has real chance here and finished best of the other contenders today.
Pierre Rolland was impressive today with good team support for him he might have lost a little interest once it was clear the stage win and major mountain points would not be up for grabs. Him and Arredondo could very much get involved again today. Don’t forget while the offer isn’t open to me Paddy power will refund if an Italian wins the stage which again paid on stage 14.
Giro Stage 15 Bets:
.25pts Fabio Aru 25/1 paddy power (30.0 Betfair)
.2pts Pierre Rolland 33/1 betvictor
1.pt Julian Arredondo 25/1 paddy power
Henao is now Sky leader by default while Rosa has been pretty awful all this week so the match seems off.
2pts Aru to beat Majka 2.42 pinnacle
1.5pts Cunego to beat Ulissi 6/4 paddys
1pt Cunego to beat Rabottini 2.3 888sport (2.21 pinnacle)
1pt Cunego to beat Duarte evens ladbrokes
2pts Pellizotti to beat Basso 2.18 pinnacle
5pts Henao to beat Rosa 5/6 paddys
1pt Uran to beat Evans 2.24 pinnacle
1.5pts Rolland to beat Hesjedal 5/6 bet365
Geniez to beat Duarte 5/6 paddys