Giro Stage 16 Preview
So we are coming off a rest day into Giro Stage 16 which should provide more excitement. Stage 15 was a cracker and provided SBB with a quality days tipping as our 5pt match bet landed at 5/6 (was never close over 50 places difference). Aru also provided us with a 25/1 winner and our main stage selection of the day it was a very profitable day for the blog and followers. Uran gained time on all but two rivals. Losing 20 seconds to Quintana was more than acceptable as he gained time on others. Uran can now focus on controlling Quintana now as he is clearly the threat now. Poels had provided good support and Brambilla is doing well too.
Stage 16 takes us on a short but testing 139km route. A warm up is advised for riders as they will have just a short ride down hill before the hit the first of three climbs on the day. All 3 climbs peak at over 2,000 metres. The worry as always going at altitude in May is snow and again the road is currently clear but snow may be due. Hopefully we can catch almost all the stage and no doubt we see a strong break away. Arrendondo and Pirazzi are prime candidates to get away and win the CIMA Coppi prize.
Giro Stage 16, the climb of the Stelvio is a long one at over 21km. It has one part of 12% but has large sectors of 8%. There is some relief near top as it goes 4% before resuming normal business for about 4km till the top. I don’t expect too much of a group by the top maybe 40 or 50 riders will be left you just cant hang on. However the down hill to Lasa is really long and could allow a few to catch on as there is a further down hill before the final climb. This could all be ruled out with so much weather dependent lets hope we at least get some sort of racing in.We should at least get the final climb in if nothing else should the weather turn for the worse. The climb is long at just over 22km but unlike the Stelvio it is more erratic. Early on we hit a *.5% section for several km. Then we hit a slight down hill before heading back up hill. At half way up the climb it gets interesting as we hit some steeper ramps. At 17km it hits some 14%, from here I expect the GC will really start to be decided. However not too far after we hit another flat spot which might all of those riding in the zone to catch back on any attacks. The final 3km or so are above 9% and how much time can be gained here is interesting. Whoever wins they will need to be very strong.
The GC picture looks like this with 13 riders within 10 minutes of the leader Rigoberto Uran going into Giro Stage 16. Evans is still his nearest rival at just over a minute but is fading. Really his greatest threats come from the 4 riders behind him.
I am pointing towards Pierre Rolland to get it right here, he stuck with Quintana on Sunday. Quintana is a much shorter price yet the more adventurous french man may well cope with the cold and take the stage win with nothing to risk. At 28/1 Uran isn’t a bad bet but more so as trading material as its likely someone goes with him even if he proves very strong. Majka at 25/1 may also tempt some. Pellizotti is worth a look in at 66/1 he was top 10 the last day and is a climber at heart with Androni keen for him to excel himself at some stage this could be the one.
Some may be keen on Duarte here but off a rest he hasn’t always proved the best and before last Sundays superb display he hadn’t really delivered.
Giro Stage 16 Bets:
.35pts Pierre Rolland 14/1 paddy power
.1pt Franco Pellizotti 66/1 Betfred
2pts Rolland to beat Pozzovivo 4/5 hills
1pt Rolland to beat Hesjedal 4/9 ladbrokes
Majka to beat Pozzovivo 4/5 ladbrokes
1pt Moreno to beat Duarte 3.16 pinnacle
2pt Morabito to beat Poels evens 2.33 pinnacle
3pts Herrada to beat Anton 1.63 pinnacle
2.5pts Monfort to beat Rabottini 5/6 hills
2pts Geniez to beat Vuillermoz 2.13 pinnacle
2pt Deignan to beat Cardoso 1.86 pinnacle
1pt Cataldo to beat Santaromita 1.51 pinnacle
1pt Pellizotti to beat Basso 8/13 ladbrokes