Giro Stage 20 cycling blog
Lets move onto Giro Stage 20 with Giro Stage 19 went very well on the match bet front for us (click here). Giro stage 20 looks like a bit of a monster especially coming off the stage we just saw with a serious amount of climbing and a fierce pace was set by Astana on the climb to break it up nice and early.
Stage 20 is the last test for riders and for most of the day they should do just fine but the stage has two monster climbs stuck on the end including some of the gravel roads to test the riders. At 196km this stage feels a little longer than it needed to be. Riders will want to try keep in the group till they hit the final climb as otherwise it might be a long day fighting for survival. Special note to Adam Hansen who seems like he will get himself through another grand tour.
Colle delle Finestre is a monster climb the riders will hit at a decent pace. 18.5 km and an average gradient of 9.2 % will have the legs screaming. The steepest part comes on the first kilometre of the climb where the road kicks up with 14 % from there it does ease a little but the top is tricky with the rough road surface. It really is a beautiful climb, with so many hairpins which make for glorious racing. In all they cover just over 7km of gravel road at the top part. with key mountain points available at the top expect to see Movistar highly interested at the very least. Given the trickiness of the uphill its not surprise that the downhill to the final climb is far from simple.
The final climb is just over 9km and not steep at under 6%. The finish is quick so it will offer a chance to a number of riders if they can stop the better climbers staying away over the top of Finestre. Astana might well set the pace again as there team has been a little crazy pretty much always there over the 3 weeks. With Aru and Landa so close in the GC will it affect tensions in the camp. After a grand tour that didn’t need the route to make it one of the hardest grand tours in memory its interesting to see if we can get a surprise winner. The top three in the market are as expected however people might see value in doubling up on Aru. Hesjedal has drifted to enough of a price for me to e tempted and he might well suit it hes at least twice the price of his main rivals.
Uran looked much better today and he could hang with the best of them tomorrow with the finishing climb suitable to him winning it I take the 22/1. I thought about Konig but it may be better to look at Caruso or Trofimov to bounce back on the day. Kangert is 100/1 plus and looked to be flying today but he will likely take on a fierce work load on this stage.
The Konig match bets interests me at those odds I could see Kruijswijk could empty out on the main climb before the finish to secure his climbers blue jersey.
.35pts Ryder Hesjedal 16/1 betvictor
.45pts Rigoberto Uran 22/1 boyles
.2pt Damiano Caruso 80/1 bet365
1pt Caruso to beat Geniez 5/6 bet365 (2pts 1.943 pinnacle)
1pt Hesjedal to beat Aru 11/10 ladbrokes (1pt 2.2 pinnacle)
1.5pts Konig to beat Kruijswijk 13/8 paddys (3pts 2.78 pinnacle)
3pts Uran to beat Kangert 5/6 paddys