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New Years Day Racing Trend Ratings

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New Years Day Racing Trend Ratings

The last set of trend ratings that I put up were for the Welsh National when top rated Hawkes Point narrowly missed out on victory having finished runner up at 14/1.

We have four races for New Years Day which I have access to the trend stats so I have put these through the same system as I used for the Welsh National and I shall post the ratings here along with the advised bets.

1.20 Cheltenham – The Dipper Novices´ Steeple Chase

NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER JOCKEY SCORE
1 2P4-21 Oscar Whisky 9 11-7 Nicky Henderson Barry Geraghty 32.30
2 16-113 Taquin Du Seuil 7 11-7 Jonjo O´Neill A P McCoy 29.07
3 109-9F Close House 7 11-0 David Pipe Paddy Brennan 28.03
4 09-342 Timesawastin 8 11-0 Evan Williams Paul Moloney 26.31

No real surprise in the first race where odds-on shot Oscar Whisky comes up top and the rest follow in market order, five time Cheltenham winner who will love the ground although Taquin Du Seuil beat him on his chasing debut and is 5lbs better off in the weights today so OW is going to have to up his game to get the better of him today.

2.15 Tramore – Holden Plant Rentals Chase

NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER JOCKEY SCORE
2 1-F21P Roi Du Mee 9 11-12 Gordon Elliott Davy Russell 35.07
1 65-051 Buckers Bridge 8 11-12 Henry De Bromhead A E Lynch 27.43
5 52-242 Oscars Well 9 11-9 Mrs John Harrington Robbie Power 26.89
4 13F2-2 Marito 8 11-9 W P Mullins Paul Townend 24.58
7 5/81U- Bishopsfurze 9 11-2 W P Mullins Emmet Mullins 22.40
6 3/031- Torphichen 9 11-9 E J O´Grady Mark Walsh 22.18
3 30122 He´llberemembered 11 11-9 P G Fahey Shane Butler 19.36
8 22/0-P Out Now 10 11-2 E J O´Grady S J Hassett 18.24

Six time graded winner Roi Du Mee comes out top for this one, a winner of the Champion Chase at Down Royal back in November must have a very good chance down at this level, five time winner on heavy ground and have won six from nine when going off favourite. He comes out well clear of the rest so looks the best bet of the four today.

2.30 Cheltenham – Fairlawne Handicap Chase

NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER JOCKEY SCORE
7 61321 Double Ross 8 11-5 Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies 20.31
3 521-26 Ackertac 9 11-10 Tim Vaughan Richard Johnson 17.72
6 F14-72 Cedre Bleu 7 11-6 Paul Nicholls Daryl Jacob 17.63
8 661/81 Pickamus 11 11-1 Henry Daly Robert Thornton 17.34
4 197-1P Silver Roque 8 11-8 Fergal O´Brien Paddy Brennan 16.44
1 45-138 Drumshambo 8 11-12 Venetia Williams Aidan Coleman 16.02
2 5F-040 Kumbeshwar 7 11-10 Alan King Wayne Hutchinson 15.63
5 P16-90 Carrickboy 10 11-7 Venetia Williams Liam Treadwell 14.09

Double Ross was successful over course and distance last month in a G3 race off a mark of 133 and despite a 7lb rise looks a good shout to follow up on that win, slight concern about the ground as he is 0-3 on heavy but a dual course winner and a three time winner when returning after a break a of between 16-30 days.

3.05 Cheltenham – Dornan Engineering Hurdle

NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER JOCKEY SCORE
1 141-22 Zarkandar 7 11-12 Paul Nicholls Daryl Jacob 26.32
2 1111-1 Annie Power 6 11-5 W P Mullins R Walsh 25.30
3 U1F-8 Empire Levant 7 11-4 Paul Nicholls Harry Derham 24.78

Looks an intriguing race with Annie Power a very short favourite as she looks to continue her unbeaten career having won all previous eight starts which includes three graded successes on the spin but it is Paul Nicholls’ Zarkandar who comes out top on the trends ratings, was five lengths off Annie Power in the Coral Hurdle but was conceding 11lbs to her that day whereas today it is down to just 7lbs which should put him closer and I think it will be closer than the betting suggests.

The Bets

Roi Du Mee is the only one which is clear at the top so we shall back this one singular and then combine all four in a four-fold.

ROI DU MEE to Win at 2.25 (Paddy Power)

FOUR-FOLD to Win at 38.68 (Paddy Power)

About Author

I have been in the betting game for getting on 10 years now, I was a late comer in the betting scene, never really showed much interest in the first 20 years of my life but then I came across a betting website and that all changed. I have learnt a vast amount over the last 5 years, I used to believe I could pick the winner in every race before I realised I could not and began selective betting which is the only way forward. I mainly stick with the horses but do occasionally stray off to bet on the footie or speedway. I am now 35 years old, born and bred in Ipswich and still here and forever a Tractorboy, work part time for a Cash & Carry and have a dog named Dave! That’s about it from me.

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