New Years Day Racing Trend Ratings
The last set of trend ratings that I put up were for the Welsh National when top rated Hawkes Point narrowly missed out on victory having finished runner up at 14/1.
We have four races for New Years Day which I have access to the trend stats so I have put these through the same system as I used for the Welsh National and I shall post the ratings here along with the advised bets.
1.20 Cheltenham – The Dipper Novices´ Steeple Chase
|1||2P4-21||Oscar Whisky||9||11-7||Nicky Henderson||Barry Geraghty||32.30|
|2||16-113||Taquin Du Seuil||7||11-7||Jonjo O´Neill||A P McCoy||29.07|
|3||109-9F||Close House||7||11-0||David Pipe||Paddy Brennan||28.03|
|4||09-342||Timesawastin||8||11-0||Evan Williams||Paul Moloney||26.31|
No real surprise in the first race where odds-on shot Oscar Whisky comes up top and the rest follow in market order, five time Cheltenham winner who will love the ground although Taquin Du Seuil beat him on his chasing debut and is 5lbs better off in the weights today so OW is going to have to up his game to get the better of him today.
2.15 Tramore – Holden Plant Rentals Chase
|2||1-F21P||Roi Du Mee||9||11-12||Gordon Elliott||Davy Russell||35.07|
|1||65-051||Buckers Bridge||8||11-12||Henry De Bromhead||A E Lynch||27.43|
|5||52-242||Oscars Well||9||11-9||Mrs John Harrington||Robbie Power||26.89|
|4||13F2-2||Marito||8||11-9||W P Mullins||Paul Townend||24.58|
|7||5/81U-||Bishopsfurze||9||11-2||W P Mullins||Emmet Mullins||22.40|
|6||3/031-||Torphichen||9||11-9||E J O´Grady||Mark Walsh||22.18|
|3||30122||He´llberemembered||11||11-9||P G Fahey||Shane Butler||19.36|
|8||22/0-P||Out Now||10||11-2||E J O´Grady||S J Hassett||18.24|
Six time graded winner Roi Du Mee comes out top for this one, a winner of the Champion Chase at Down Royal back in November must have a very good chance down at this level, five time winner on heavy ground and have won six from nine when going off favourite. He comes out well clear of the rest so looks the best bet of the four today.
2.30 Cheltenham – Fairlawne Handicap Chase
|7||61321||Double Ross||8||11-5||Nigel Twiston-Davies||Sam Twiston-Davies||20.31|
|3||521-26||Ackertac||9||11-10||Tim Vaughan||Richard Johnson||17.72|
|6||F14-72||Cedre Bleu||7||11-6||Paul Nicholls||Daryl Jacob||17.63|
|8||661/81||Pickamus||11||11-1||Henry Daly||Robert Thornton||17.34|
|4||197-1P||Silver Roque||8||11-8||Fergal O´Brien||Paddy Brennan||16.44|
|1||45-138||Drumshambo||8||11-12||Venetia Williams||Aidan Coleman||16.02|
|2||5F-040||Kumbeshwar||7||11-10||Alan King||Wayne Hutchinson||15.63|
|5||P16-90||Carrickboy||10||11-7||Venetia Williams||Liam Treadwell||14.09|
Double Ross was successful over course and distance last month in a G3 race off a mark of 133 and despite a 7lb rise looks a good shout to follow up on that win, slight concern about the ground as he is 0-3 on heavy but a dual course winner and a three time winner when returning after a break a of between 16-30 days.
3.05 Cheltenham – Dornan Engineering Hurdle
|1||141-22||Zarkandar||7||11-12||Paul Nicholls||Daryl Jacob||26.32|
|2||1111-1||Annie Power||6||11-5||W P Mullins||R Walsh||25.30|
|3||U1F-8||Empire Levant||7||11-4||Paul Nicholls||Harry Derham||24.78|
Looks an intriguing race with Annie Power a very short favourite as she looks to continue her unbeaten career having won all previous eight starts which includes three graded successes on the spin but it is Paul Nicholls’ Zarkandar who comes out top on the trends ratings, was five lengths off Annie Power in the Coral Hurdle but was conceding 11lbs to her that day whereas today it is down to just 7lbs which should put him closer and I think it will be closer than the betting suggests.
Roi Du Mee is the only one which is clear at the top so we shall back this one singular and then combine all four in a four-fold.
ROI DU MEE to Win at 2.25 (Paddy Power)
FOUR-FOLD to Win at 38.68 (Paddy Power)