Paris Tour 2014 Cycling Preview
After the wonderful win at 20/1 of Dan Martin in Lombardy we move onto the final one day classic of sorts with Paris Tour. Degenkolb took it from Morkov and Demare last year, but its not always on for the sprinters with Marcato a winner in 2012 with a trio who finished seconds ahead of Degenkolb in 4th. In 2011 GVA won with a strong attack and Marcato was not far behind in 2nd so there is lots to interest us in this one. Despite its place late in the season and the loss of some its appeal the podiums of late have been rather strong.
Degenkolb will be the name on everyone lips for this Paris Tour 2014. Since the surprise winner in Guesdon in 2006 France has failed to break the top two in there season closer and surely someone will be looking to change that. The Paris Tours route is 237km and pretty flat the highest point coming early at 160m and rarely above 100m from half way. The last 5km are flat but attacks can do something late and a hesitant chase can allow them to get away. The route may shout bunch sprint but the tactics and game plans mean its often more interesting than that.
In 2012 we saw Degenkolb chase solo as the bunch failed to work with him to chase Marcato and his two partners. Its moments like this that make Paris Tours interesting beyond its route.
From a bet point of view I am going leave Demare and Degenkolb out of it as tactics might pay off here for a strong rider willing to take a chance. Firstly BMC may have Greg but also Teuns a young talent is well worth watching here as he has late season form. It is a big step up again here for him but 125/1 is a fair price. With Terpstra now out of the race for OPQS they have no real killer man for the finish so expect them to be active in the days break.
Hutarovich looks value here he has been twice second in recent weeks to the two at the top of the market in Demare and Degenkolb he will not beat them often but at the odds he can do it more often than they might suggest. Worth a watch is Voeckler who looks in shape after a year of set backs. He is a rider who takes chances and he could make it pay off in a race of this nature. Haussler isn’t the rider he was but he has in past done some good things and he can sprint bit should it get tactical and end up in right group I had him half this price. The race is live on Eurosport so enjoy the action.
Paris Tour Bets:
.1pt Dylan Teuns 125/1 bet365
.1pt T.Voeckler 80/1 ladbrokes
.25pts Y Hutarovich 33/1 ladbrokes
.1pt H.Haussler 66/1 paddy power
2pts Haussler to beat Breschel 2.16 pinnacle
2pts Hutarovich to beat Nizzolo 2.12 pinnacle