There doesn’t seem to be a great of opportunity for me with Saturday’s matches. Harlequins are out of form, while Exeter could get above the handicap it seems about right. Northampton and Saracens is probably the only game worth a second look but again it looks difficult to split them and the tie with a trade in mind is probably the best bet for the Saturday.
However on Sunday Wasps v Leicester appeals.
Leicester have not beaten Wasps at Adams Park in the last 5 attempts and to have the handicap as low as scratch with some bookies that just needs to be taken.
Wasps have Elliot Daly, Tom Palmer and Ashley Johnson back after injury and with Christian Wade free to play they look to have a pretty full strength side out. They showed good resolve last week in Europe to come back to beat Bayonne and although they only have 1 win in the league so far they have run Sale, Exeter and Saracens close away from home, while losing by a single point to Quins at Twickenham. Their only home game this year saw a convincing 5 pt win over Worcester and I would expect a win today.
Leicester are suffering injuries and callups if you take out of a side Tom Youngs, Ben Youngs, Dan Cole, Toby Flood and Geoff Parling on England duty and then find out Flood’s deputy Lamb is out injured, Tom Youngs replacement Rob Hawkins is out injured and then as well as Parling away, Mafi and Kitchener are injured. There are also a lot of the experienced backs out injured in Tuilagi, Allen, Hamilton, Camacho, Smith and Tait and that has to take effect despite the large Leicester squad and new signings.
As always Leicester will be tough to beat but during international breaks is the time to get at them and I feel the bookies have this at least 5pts wrong on the handicap.
Wasps to win
With the projected weather the Wasps win by 1-12 may also be worth while.