Shell Houston Open – Tips and Preview
So its the week before the best event in golf and we head to the Shell Houston Open a prime chance for players to sharpen their game ahead of next week and for lesser names to shine before a week off. This event has been at Redstone since 2003 and played on this exact course since 2006 so provides plenty past form to go on. (note previously the Shell Houston Open had followed the Masters than come before it)
Last week in Texas Summarhays got us a place at 100/1 (check back here)
The course is a par 72 at just under 7,500 yards. Their is plenty sand and water about but the course can be attacked. The 18th is a tricky par 4 and will make for interesting finish to everyone’s around and especially on Sunday. Greens will be fast so good putting will pay off just like it will next week.
This week GIR % will be important and a player who does well on par 5s. A good balance with Driver will help as accuracy is good but length can also help on the right holes. As Phil Mickelson has proved in the past a low score is possible in the right conditions. For the winner this a Masters spot is up for grabs but former winners have usually had their place booked before hand.
Rory McIlroy tops the market this week but at the odds is well worth opposing likely in running as he has started well before fading most of this season. I also could not make good case for Johnson or Mickelson for differing reasons this week they look very poor value.
Note once again Paddy Power are the only book going 6 places if their odds are up with the best they offer a nice extra place.
Shell Houston Open Suggested Bets:
Keegan Bradley 25/1 various- Won in the past before his major win in 2012. 4th and 10th here his last two appearances along with his encouraging upturn in form provide confidence this week after 2nd last week. Putting looked decent last week prove useful here.
Jimmy Walker 40/1 various – Disappointing last week when the course should have suited him. Plays par 5s very well so could excel here now he is truly over his winning stutters. Worth investment to resume his best form here.
Bill Haas 40/1 Paddy Power – 10th year last year with his strong GIR stats showing over the 4 days. also a good scrambler and putts well on these sort of greens. top 20s last 3 start show he is firing.
Graham De Laet 33/1 paddy power- First of all a player with one of the nicest swings on tour in my view. Yet to win however proving good looking golf is not always best. Hits everything very straight and perhaps the putter is the area he can improve. He was 3rd back in 2010, and 3 top 10s from 6 starts coming in reads well.
Jason Kokrak 55/1 betvictor- In my line as 2 weeks ago backed at decent odds when placing, was decent again last week in Valspar and also had top 10 in this event last year. Has never feared the big names.
Shell Houston Open Outsiders:
Kevin Stadler 110/1 various- A winner already this season at the Phoenix Open, making cuts since if a little quiet. Decent ball striker and can be very good with the putter too. 6th here in 2010.
Seung Yul Noh 110/1 bet365 – Should relish the wider fairways this week as great iron player with good GIR stats. His good putting should pay off on a course set up that should suit him
Shell Houston Open Top 10 Bets:
Ben Crane 14/1 Boylesports – A 5 time winner on tour, and has liked playing here before due to his putting being somewhat brilliant when on song. 4th last year when not in form either so can not write off.
Charles Howell III 6/1 Coral- A solid 10th here last year, doesn’t win often enough but a good top 10 campaigner. Ranks highly in GIR this season and worth a snap in top 10 market based on his conversion rate and liking for this course.