Tour De France Stage 15 Preview
Stage 14 was our last day in the Alphine climbs and it was pretty exciting battle between break and the chasing pack. For a while it looked like a strong break might be too much to handle for the chase. But then a confident Net App team took the pace and others followed. The break started to go on the final climb but it was Majka who was strongest holding off a chasing pack. Nibali looking super strong once again came in second only Peraud able to follow his grinding attack. In behind another group had managed to work together rather than attack each other and Pinot, Bardet were soon followed home by Van Garderen and Schleck. Ten Dam came in soon after now the number 1 option for Belkin. Konig failed to live up to team support but did drag himself away from Valverde who had his off day and barely held on to 2nd in the GC.
We lost another two riders with both Valls and Devenyns failing to finish. Fuglsang showed he was hurting from his crash yesterday coming in well down unable to provide proper support to Nibali, it could see him fail to finish all the way to Paris. Van Den Broeck had a horrid day and lost a lot of time. Rui Costa did not do much better. Porte again was suffering likely a mix of lack of ambition and drain from the day before. It was good to Ion Izagirre up there in the climb till late on. Gastauer put in a monster turn for them team and still came in the top 20 they are running away with the team table to say the least.
Betting wise I had my first bad day, it took my till 14km out to get green book as my big prices on Peraud finally paid off and I traded some Konig as Net App chased. Originally in the break I had traded Majka, Nieve and Roche. But by end I felt Majka might feel the affects of the day before so I laid him at lowish prices and then did it some more but it wasn’t to be and he was never caught. Pre race Bardet did ride a cracker for 4th and Peraud was 3rd at 100/1+ so we were not far off and each way backers would have been rewarded. Overall we had a -.83pt return on suggested staking plan so only a small dent on Stage 13s profit. Onto Tour De France Stage 15.
Tour De France Stage 15 Preview
With Majka the ruthless getting his win on the board there is a chance for a much different type of win on Tour De France Stage 15. Stage 15 is unusual for the 2nd last Sunday of racing with the terrain very much easing off from the past two days racing. Then on Tuesday we hit the Pyrennes. This will be quick as we head back down to near sea level from the base of the Alpes. Its 222km so quiet long but I am expecting quiet a high average speed with some of the sprinters them keen to get involved. The finish itself is every so slightly up hill so the prefect sprinting terrain.
But like with a lot of things there is a twist in the tail. Rain is expected out on the roads and we travel to Nimes on mostly smaller roads which should keep things very interesting. The intermediate sprint comes at just 50km out which a break may still take the big points from. Expect Coquard to get his sprint on.With the rain, late roundabouts and narrow finish then the sprinter who wins will likely need to do all these things in confidence. With it being far from straight forward look for value in the sprinters. As such Marcel Kittel at 10/11 is best avoided.
Overall I am very tempted to play both Sagan and Kristoff and getting Degenkolb on side might be very wise.
Tour De France Stage 15 Bets:
.25pts Alexander Kristoff 10/1 skybet (12.5 Betfair)
.25pts Peter Sagan 14/1 Corals (15.5 Betfair)
.1pt John Degenkolb 50/1 paddy power (65 Betfair)
1.5pts Coquard to beat Renshaw 6/4 paddys
1pt Romain Feillu to beat Demare 11/8 hills
2pts Kwiatkowski to beat Mollema 2.01 pinnacle
1.5pts Ten Dam to beat Zubeldia 17/20 hills
1.5pts Nieve to beat Horner 1.82 pinnacle