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Tour De France Stage 9 Preview

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Tour De France Stage 9 Preview

Stage 8 saw some real interesting weather towards the end of the stage but most amazing was Kadri of Ag2r who went it alone from far out and held the gap back to the chasing peloton well while the rest of his escapees were swallowed up. He had plenty time to enjoy the maiden French win of this Tour De France. Contador our bet for the day was easily the best of the rest a pity as another 2nd place for the blog.

Look back at the TDF Stage 8 Preview on SBB

With Contador just falling sort it was a case of close but not close enough. It left us with a -1.86pts for the day a pity as Rui Costa being more place up would have seen a profit on the day. On the day we had a few losers with Van Den Broeck dropping off on the final climb while Talansky took another spill on the descent. In my lay of Kwiatkowski for white he looked to be heading for an early fail but recovered quiet well limiting looses to Bardet and Pinot who were most impressive.

Tour De France Stage 9 Preview

Onto Stage 9 another testing day for the riders. The day is pretty much up or down all day till 21km out when we get a flat run in that could very much reduce who loses time as it is a long way from home form the top of the Grand Ballon. With 6 climbs in all and 2 other peaks for the riders it is going be a fierce battle for the auto bus but also a test for the teams of the big riders. By what is really the final climb at the base of Le Markstein who will be left? The two opening climbs are doable for anyone who wants to get over but the 3rd climb is 4,5km at 6.1% and might be the starting point for the loss of men.

Soon after they are climbing again a similar length climb at 4.1km but this time climbing at nearly 8% I expect we get a much reduced group by the top, just over half way into the 170km stage. From the top of that its a bit of distance to the base of the days main climb. At 5.4% Le Markstein isn’t to be feared but at 10.8km and varying gradients it will sap some of the field and over the top they quickly are faced with another 1,4km at 8.6%. From the top of the Grand Ballon it will be quick to Cernay which is 21km from the finish  in Mulhouse. I am expecting a select group of 20-30 riders to fight it out. The real test and results will be on Monday.

Tour De France Stage 9 Profile

Peter Sagan is favoured here by some books but don’t be silly and save your money and to be honest this really looks fit for the break away once again. I am taking him on with what is a kind price from Pinnacle who offer yes no betting on select stage winners. Other wise I am struggling to see a suitable play. Playing riders in the hope they might make it into a break isn’t my thing as I prefer to take a shorter price and trade it once they get away. I am not sure who to consider yet Navarro looked better today and might get away, I feel we might see Spilak pop up at some stage too.

Tour De France Stage 9 Bets:

8pts Sagan not to win the stage 1.114 pinnacle

Kwiatkowski could well pop on a day like this he does fight hard but we all know while Valverde doesn’t look in top form he can have sprint should Kwiatkowski hold on. Slagter looks a better chance to hang about than Gerrans take him at 5/6.

2pts Valverde to beat Kwiatkowski 2.36 pinnacle

1.5pts Contadaor to beat Nibali 6/5 paddys (2.18 pinnacle)

1.5pts Van Garderen to beat Peraud 2.12 pinnacle

1pt Horner to beat Ten Dam 2.07 pinnacle

1pt Roche to beat Rogers 1.75 pinnacle

1pt Bakelandts to beat Voeckler 1.84 pinnacle

1.5pts Thomas to beat Gallopin 2.28 pinnacle

2pts Slagter to beat Gerrans 5/6 paddys

1pt Mollema to beat Bardet 6/5 paddys

 

About Author

Based in Dublin, Ireland. Introduced to betting through horse racing, placed my first bet on kicking king to win the Gold Cup at 4/1. Used my love of all sports to take an interest in betting on sports. Qualified accountant with a way with numbers. Over years have found the niche sports most rewarding with NFL and Cycling, but always dabble in bit of everything. Focus in future is good staking and improved trading. Also blog at http://sportinginvest.com/

3 Comments

  1. I always enjoy reading your cycling blog and predictions, and I value your insight. I do enjoy trying to predict the breakaway riders each day, my intention being to lay off on the exchanges. Today is almost impossible to call. Voekler and Bakelandts are short, considering the challenge, but either is likely to make the break. I’ve had a small wager on Geraint Thomas at 200/1 on betfair, in the hope that he’s allowed to have a go by Team Sky.

  2. Pingback: Tour De France Stage 10 Preview

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