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Volta Ciclista a Catalunya 2015 Cycling Preview

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Volta Ciclista a Catalunya 2015 Cycling Preview

Off the excitement of the Milano San Remo we arrive at the Volta Ciclista a Catalunya in 2015, and at short notice Rodriguez will not be here to defend his crown. It kicks off with quiet an interesting stage that should narrow the field from the off. Its downhill finish with short flat but there three climbs to be conquered. Stage 2 has lesser climbs but does finish on one well just after the top anyway. Climbs not overly long so a real mix could get involved.

Past Winners List

Stage 3 is in and out of Girona where a hell of a lot of riders live during the season such as Dan Martin. 5 climbs on day with just over 10km from the top to the finish. Stage 4 heads for the higher mountains as they pass 1km altitude. its got 4 climbs in all and they reach nearly 2,000m before heading down for days final climb for a testing mtf finish. Stage 5 has two late climbs, its a 5km downhill into the finish. The intense racing continues on Stage 6  but the main climb comes early so this may be the biggest group we see at the finish. Stage is the usual circuit finish near Barcelona, the stage is just 123km but has seen much action with its hill repeat. The 120m climb is repeated 8 times should be one hell of a test.

One hell of a test for this one and every day could see the race lost. Its going be tricky to decide when the days will suit those with a little less climbing talent. Volta Ciclista a Catalunya should prove very interesting.

Volta Ciclista a Catalunya Outright:

The field is dead strong with Contador, Valverde and Froome lining out. Uran is also here along with Porte, Martin, TVG, Talansky and Bardet. I quiet like the Contador price this is real racing and he is stronger at that than Froome in general, Valverde looks too short he isn’t a super force any more and 300km at San Remo on Sunday not my recommended preparation. Bardet nearly came to mind but I am risking Van Garderen who was 4th last year to come good after some poor management last week. Valls has won Oman this year and looked solid since 100/1 to surprise again. Bardet took my eye but I just left him in end and Martin and Uran where tempting but just fell short of prices id like.

Rafael Valls could prove a lively outsider

.75pts Alberto Contador 11/2 bet365

.3pts Tejay Van Garderen 33/1 bet365

.1pt Romain Bardet 33/1 betvic

.2pts Rafal Valls 100/1 ladbrokes

Match Bets:

.5pts Uran to beat Valverde 5/2 bet365 (.25pts 3.3 pinnacle)

.5pts Contador to beat Froome evens bet365 (.25pts 1.99 pinnacle)

1pt Martin to beat Keldermann 8/13 bet365 .4pts 1.67 pinnacle

1pt Aru to beat Pozzovivo 5/4 bet365 (.25pts 2.36 pinnacle)

2pts Valls to beat Caruso 6/5 bet365 (1.5pts 11/10 bet365)

.5pts NAvarro to beat Chaves 5/4 bet365 (.2pts 2.29 pinnacle)

.5pts Tejay Van Garderen to beat Bardet 5/6 bet365

About Author

Based in Dublin, Ireland. Introduced to betting through horse racing, placed my first bet on kicking king to win the Gold Cup at 4/1. Used my love of all sports to take an interest in betting on sports. Qualified accountant with a way with numbers. Over years have found the niche sports most rewarding with NFL and Cycling, but always dabble in bit of everything. Focus in future is good staking and improved trading. Also blog at http://sportinginvest.com/

7 Comments

  1. Stage 1:
    ALaphillippe and Henderson did come to mind but its early doors and I am just going go with the two for this;

    .5pts M.Pelucchi 10/1 betvictor
    .3pts JJ Rojas 22/1 paddys

    1.5pts Uran to beat Valverde 6/4 bet365
    1.5pts Ewans to beat Mezgec 1.92 pinnacle

  2. Stage 2:
    So the break stayed away as communication of the break was poor. Paterski won for CCC which is good to show they can hang with the World Tour teams. This is another open stage that a strong sprinter should not let the sprinters bother them. While we cant totally read into todays results in the sprint for 4th it was won by Van Der Sande, Simon is also of interest in this sort of terrain at these odds. Alaphillipee again came to mind but I missed the 9/1+.

    .33pts Van Der Sande 22/1 bet365, sportingbet
    .3pts Julien Simon 28/1 bet365, sportingbet

    .5pts Valls to beat Pozzovivo 5/6 bet365
    .5pts Simon to beat Hiver 8/11 bet365

  3. Stage 3:

    Open ended stage, think Valverde is woeful price considering many ways this could play out, winner needs a decent climb on that final climb but also handle the descent.

    .2pts Sam Sanchez 40/1 ladbrokes
    1pt Valverde not to win 1.42 pinnacle

    1.5pts Contador to beat Froome evens bet365
    1pt Alaphillippe to eat Rojas 3.17 pinnacle
    1.5pts Simon to beat Hivert 2.2 pinnacle

  4. Stage 4:
    So the profiles are pretty average but moley has on his blog listed out todays climbs
    http://www.ciclismointernacional.com/volta-a-catalunya-2015-stage-4-preview/

    The climbs are:-

    Alt de Bracons – 10.5km at 4.9%, with a max of 12%.

    Alt de Coubet – 10km at 5.5%, with a max of 10%.

    Alt de la Creueta – 21km at 4.5%, with a max of 9%.

    La Molina – 5.6km at 5.8%.
    ,
    La Molina is the final climb that they finish on, the climbs before are long enough to really sap, the fireworks might go off nice and early. Europcar surely will be working hard to try control the mayhem, we all know Saxo will go ape.

    Winner:
    I really like Aru he is a born winner he will sometimes let you down but he always has an ace up his sleeve today could very much play into his hands and the team looks strong. Martin rode well enough today he could build on it to grab another great win for Irish Cycling. Valls is my wild card to pick up his level for this one.
    ,
    .5pts F,Aru 16/1 ladbrokes, betfair
    .35pts D.Martin 33/1 bevictor, betfair
    .15pts R.Valls 80/1 ladbrokes
    ,
    had to add Porte for insurance at pinnacle prices
    .25pts R.Porte 9.43 pinnacle
    ,
    1pt Contador to beat Valverde 2.3 pinnacle
    2pt Aru to beat Pozovivo 4/5 hills
    2pts Rolland to beat Van Den Broeck 2.66 pinnacle
    .5pts Navarro to beat Barguil 2.46 pinnacle

  5. Stage 5:
    Readers of this blog will know I am a big fan of Tejay Van Garderen but it would have been a brave man to back to win stage 4 after he lost a bucket load of time from the crash he had on stage 3. He is a hit and miss rider but it was another cracking win for him considering the talent in the top 10.
    Climbs not ad here not overly steep, the descent is wide and open a good sprint will be needed to contest. Mezgec and Valverde head the market but I really couldn’t trust Mezgec right now to get himself there.
    Alaphilippe went well in this finish last year and again he looks good this week. Hivert and Van Der Sande are two others who have looked in it this week.
    ,
    .4pts Julian Alaphilippe 9.43 pinnacle
    .2pts J.Hivert 17/1 hills
    .1pt T.Van Der Sande 80/1 bet365, sportingbet
    MAtch Bets:
    2pt Coquard to beat Mezgec 5/4 bet365
    2pts Valls to beat Aru 1.793 pinnacle
    1pt Atapuma to beat Kiriyenka 6/5 bet365
    1.5pts De Clercq to beat Kruijswijk 11/10 pinnacle

  6. Stage 6:
    A tricky day today that the winds may make a hell of a test.

    .3pts J.Alaphillippe 10/1 betvictor
    .1pt D,Martin 80/1 various
    2pts Coquard not to win 1.26 pinnacle
    ,
    3pts Porte to beat Contador 1.943 pinnacle
    1.5pts Martin to beat Tiralongo 1.943 pinnacle
    1.5pts Valls to beat Aru 1.81 pinnacle
    2pts Uran to beat Keldermann 1.94 pinnacle

  7. Stage 7:
    We have had some really exciting racing this week and it comes to a focus in Barcelona on Sunday. Good conditions should provide an interesting battle and with GC closely packed expect a strong chase of the days break. Just 123km so expect the pace to be fierce. It is a tricky stage to pick apart and Valverde is favourite but as pointed out Uran has not been bad in his sprints.
    ,
    .5pts Uran 12/1 skybet, paddys, sportsbook
    .25pts Elmiger 80/1 betvictor
    .15pts Atapuma 66/1`paddys, sportingbet
    .1pt Valls 100/1 paddys, sportingbet
    ,
    2pts Atapuma to beat Van Garderen 1.83 pinnacle
    2pts Porte to beat Pozzovivo 1.89
    1pt Pardilla to beat Caruso 6/4 bet365. pinnacle
    1pt Chaves to beat Pantano 2.57 pinnacle

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