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Wimbledon 2013 > Anyone for Tennis?

6

Preview of Wimbledon 2013

Here are the links to the official site, for the Singles’ Draws

Men’s Draw

Women’s Draw

Early Rounds

Sensible to look at some of the qualifiers who have already played and won 3 matches and are ‘up to speed’ with the grass courts and speed of the game etc – these players are worth watching to see if they can maybe not win their first matches, but could be worth backing at first and then trading out in their first matches

Set betting

Again, worth looking at some of the early matches and finding well-matched players or those who are highly-ranked but perhaps not grass court specialists as they could be stretched in these games by tenacious lower-ranked players; set betting is a bit of a lottery as it really does involve more luck than judgment generally but looking for some 3-2 results can be profitable – generally, 3-1 can offer some value too as you do get matches where you think the likely loser is capable of taking a set off the fancied player

Mens Tournament

The draw has obviously affected the market with Djokovic firming up as favourite – he is currently 2.4 on Betfair to win the tournament; Ferrer is in his half of the draw yet is 75 to win on Betfair. Berdych is scheduled to meet Djokovic in the q-finals and is 65 to win overall on Betfair and is maybe the best hope of a big-price back as if he could catch Djokovic on a bad day, he could sneak through and be relatively fresh for the final compared with others who may have had really long gruelling matches

In the other half of the draw, Nadal is scheduled to meet 7-time winner Federer in the quarter-finals- the winner is likely to meet Murray in the semi-final so any of these guys wanting to win overall will obviously have their work cut out. Murray is 4.8 to win, Nadal 5.9 and Fed is 10.5 (all Betfair); this reflects their ‘harder’ route to victory and there has been plenty of comment regarding the draw. Tsonga is always worth watching as a potential ‘upset’ but he finds himself in there too and is due to meet Murray at the q-final stage

Womens Tournament

Serena is a strong fav but does have some potentially tricky opponents in her half of the draw – it will be brave person to back against her but there will no doubt be a few layers who just see odds of 1.5 as too short – hard to see anyone stopping her though unless they really raise their game a lot; they all have a chance of course and injuries can always occur – Radwanska at 75 or Lisicki at 140 are possible decent outsiders who may shorten a bit but unless you are really anti-Serena (in which case the field are all well-priced) there is limited appeal in the tournament win market

Summary

Djokovic is such a strong player these days and a regular slam finalist – hard to see past him as the winner as although Murray has improved and is capable, he may again find the pressure / route to the final just a step too far yet again. There are player markets available and you might find more joy in backing players to be eliminated at a certain round than backing them to win overall – trading is always sensible, especially in tennis matches and tournaments and we will highlight some potential trades as and when we have them

Serena Williams is an obvious winner but we wouldn’t recommend a back at those odds as it’s not a foregone conclusion; there’s always the chance of a huge upset early on if she isn’t focused and maybe backing longer shots with a view  to trade is the way forward here

** updates will be posted on this thread **

First round matches>

Kirilenko v Robson > Kirilenko is a sound player and could go a long way but Robson has shown she can beat top-ranked players and with the home support she could just spring a big surprise here – she may well then falter but at over 2/1 this isn’t a bad bet (3.05 on Betfair which is worth taking and looking to trade out of)

About Author

* UK born, now live in sunny Australia * Specialise in golf & football but also dabble on the nags, cricket, US sports, AFL, etc * Always looking to go against the flow and tend to trade most of the time

6 Comments

  1. Malisse looks very attractive at 1.91 on Betfair to beat Verdasco; Malisse is dangerous and very useful on grass and really is worth backing for me today

  2. ladies tournament >

    my pre tourney mentions for radwanska at 75 and lisicki at 140 > they can be laid off now at 24 and 14 respectively > nice profits!!!

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