Aintree Grand National Selections 2014
It is that time of the year again for the SBB Bloggers to get up their Grand National Selection 2014! If you are interested in the Trends then have a read of our Trends Guide for this years race along with trend selections.
The race will be covered as part of the Race Of The Day too with each bloggers main selection going into that. We covered the race last year which can be found here where two of our bloggers put up the 66/1 winner!
We shall add the bloggers selection as and when they come to their decision and we shall indicate which runner is their main pick for the race.
Grand National Selections 2014 – Selections from Zipster
Chance Du Roy (40/1 – Main Bet)
Mr Moonshine (50/1)
My main Grand National Selections 2014 does not exactly fit too many of the trends but for me has an excellent chance and that is Philip Hobbs CHANCE DU ROY, last seen in a listed race at Ascot where he was some eight lengths behind Teaforthree and off the same difference here you may question how that can be reversed but he was a tad keen early on which did his chances no good and another factor is that he has form here at Aintree. Last December he was successful here over the national fences when landing the Becher Chase which is a big bonus in my opinion.
He is now 8lbs higher than that win here at Aintree but you only have to go back to March of 2012 to find a success off this very mark when going in at Haydock so his mark this year does not put me off in the slightest. He is a six time winner going left handed and goes well this time of the year, he is 4-11 for runs in March/April and in Tom O’Brien he has a jockey who he gets on well with, a 33% strike rate with Tom in the saddle (6-18) and a 56% place strike rate (10-18). He has shown he can handle the fences here at Aintree, this mark looks fine and the ground looks ideal for him so for me he is my main bet for the race.
MR MOONSHINE comes here for the same combination of last year’s winner with him coming from the Sue Smith yard and will have Ryan Mania in the saddle and whilst some will think I am going with my heart here over my head, I actually believe he has a decent chance this year. He fits a lot of the trends for runners who have made the frame in this race and even more so for those in the past five years. A Dual winner already this year with wins off 136 and 143 and he gets in here off 149 which is a career high for a handicap race, he has held a mark of 152 in the past but did not run in handicaps at the time.
He did not manage to finish the race last year although he was making a move before making a mess of the Canal Turn the second time round and lost all momentum and was pulled up with Peter Buchanan. He has previous won over 3m2f on soft ground and most of his form has come on ground with some cut in it which hopefully we will have for this race. Ryan Mania will be in the saddle this year and he has got this runner in the first three on seven of his thirteen rides. Third over the national fences back in December was a promising run and for me he is in with a good chance of making the frame in this years event.
The final of my three Grand National Selections 2014 comes from the Alan King and is WALKON, such a promising horse when he came on to the scene in the UK winning at G2 at Cheltenham on his debut for the yard which he followed up with a second in the Triumph Hurdle before going on to G1 success here at Aintree. After a year and a half off the racecourse he put in a decent comeback run but after that seemed to struggle in a few races that you would have expected better from him in but a couple of runs at the back end of 2012 and his run in the Topham showed signs of the quality that he has.
He was not completely out of it when unseating when last here at Aintree in the Old Roan Chase and I think his mark of 151 for this race is one which he is capable of performing off, was runner up off 148 at Cheltenham and narrowly beaten off 146 three starts ago. The trip and ground are not a concern for me and he goes well here at Aintree, when running off a weight of 11-0 he has a record of 4-7 but it depends on what Walkon turns up, if he is in the mood than 50/1 looks a big price and one I am willing to task a risk on this year.
Grand National Selections 2014 – Selections from Jaydubs
The Package (25/1 – Main Bet)
Chance Du Roy (33/1)
The Package: When I first looked at the Package I thought I would see it was 13 or 14 but this horse is still only 11 and has had 3 extended periods off the course since it ran in the 2010 National as a 7yo when it unseated at a rather skinny 14-1. Since then it has raced almost exclusively in graded races where it has performed exceedingly well, It won a listed race at Wincanton in 2012 before 3 weeks later running 4th to Bob’s Worth, Tidal Bay and First Lieuenant in the Hennesy at Newbury, Its run once at Warwick before a Cheltenham festival run however its reappearance this year at the festival saw it run a very good 3rd behind Holywell which beat RSA winner O Foalain’s Boy and with Ma Filliuelle fancied later on it looks a very good run and potentially a few pounds below its true mark.
Chance Du Roy is another that fits into the trends as well with its age, weight, and previous good form on the course its won off 143 before and is a decent bet at larger prices
Grand National Selections 2014 – Selections from Gecko
Big Shu (22/1 – Main Bet)
Triolo D’Alene (22/1)
Quito De La Roque (50/1)
Pineau De Re (28/1)
Big Shu: Like the profile and if on top of his form, could well appear late on and surge through as should be full of running late on. This excellent cross-country performer fared ok at Cheltenham but couldnt repeat last year’s success in the Glenfarclas. X-Country specialists don’t normally do too well bar the odd exception, but Big Shu could and should fare well here today as he lugged a big weight around Cheltenham and with a decent weight here, should be ploughing along well at the end whilst others are tiring rapidly – stamina could be the obvious winning factor here, 22 on BF.
Triolo D’Alene: Didn’t perform at Cheletenham in the Gold Cup so wary of that run taking a bit out of him but did win here last year (Topham) on GS ground although obviously a way shorter trip – also impressed late last yr when picking up the Hennessey at Newbury (27f) when he won well at 20/1. Not a strong pick but if healthy could go well and pick up the big prize – may elude the 7 yr old from Henderson’s yard but worth looking at for the frame for me although Geraghty may well find some magic, 25 on BF
Quito De La Roque: Another with a good chance with previous win here a few years ago, has won 7 chases but not that many in recent times – decent price for one with a good chance as jumps well and should cope with the trip but recent form is less impressive and benefit of the doubt needs giving as to whether he has been tuned up well enough for this today, price is attractive however, 44 on BF
Pineau De Re: Completing the French named picks!, another who could go well at a good price although has a fall here not too long ago on his record – was a good 3rd in the Pertemps at Cheltenham when returning to hurdles but has a good win a year ago at Downpatrick in the Ulster National on his record, jumped well and was very strong then – won well at Exeter a few months back so has the chasing form and still looks to be reasonably handicapped. 38 on BF
Grand National Selections 2014 – Selections from Darylrogerson
Alvarado (40/1 – Main Bet)
Raz De Maree (66/1)
Alvarado: Won the Group 3 Handicap Chase over 3m3mf110y in November at Cheltenham and that marked him down on my card as a talent with the potential for this race. The runner up Knockara Beau then slogged it out to win the Cleeve hurdle before Long Run got the better of him in a two horse race before his 20 length beating in the Gold Cup.
He had Monbeg Dude back four lengths down in 4th that race and is also now 3lbs better off with that rival yet more than twice the price. The form of that race has to really be considered solid as 8th won the Kim Muir at Cheltenham and 10th won the Midlands National.
Alvarado is a tricky sort who’s played up a few times, so a little risk attached but that seems well covered in the price but good ground is where he’s at this best and I think he has a really solid chance today.
Raz De Maree: Dessie Hughes has brought this one along this season no doubt with this in mind after missing most of last season. Won the Cork Grand National in November 2012 staying on strongly over the 3m4f trip. A couple of jumping errors have crept in recently but a visor has now been applied. Yard have a good record in this race.
Grand National Selections 2014 – Selections from gghofman
Teaforthree (12/1 – Main Bet)
Burton Port (16/1)
Rose Of The Moon (80/1)
My value outsider is Rose of the Moon from a small stable. Being down the latter end of the weights will be a big help. Decent strike rate over fences and like that this is just 3rd race of the year. Will have to take to bigger fields but head gear might actually be a positive one this one. Has showing staying ability at times so could well come good at a big price. Form of win coming in works out well.
My other picks are Burton Port a novice chase winner on this track back in his hey day and also a 2nd in the bowl 2 years later. Now the prefect age for a national winner now. Latest run highly encouraging as is the drying ground which will play into his favour. I didn’t think I would end up backing Teaforthree but I have, a solid third last year his Gold Cup preparation was what it needed to be a good spin without pushing too hard as this is always the race on the mind of Welsh Trainer Curtis, same jockey as last year on board and one of best jumpers in this field so big run expected.
Grand National Selections 2014 – Selections from SeamusShanley
Big Shu (20/1 – Main Bet)
Wayward Prince (100/1)
The Rainbow Hunter (28/1)
Big Shu: Ran a really encouraging race in the cross country event race losing by 3 lengths to balthazar king in his second run this season. He won the event last year however it looks as though connections have set out this race in mind. He has a light weight for todays race at 10stone 8 and has proven that he can stay this marathon distance. Any rain today wont hinder his chances as he can go on all types of ground, current odds is at 22/1
Wayward Prince: This selection ran a cracking race in the Charlie Hall Chase in Wetherby just losing out to Harry Topper who since has shown his love for the tougher ground conditions. On that day he had the fancied Long Run easily beaten back in 5th, yet this horses odds are at 80/1 and Long Run is at 16/1. Sure enough he didnt run promisingly last time out in Doncaster but had top weight to carry then and I feel is very much overlooked for today. I think he can run a big race today on 10 stone 13
The Rainbow Hunter: My final selection had a good prep run winning a listed event in Doncaster beating Baile Anrai by over a length and looks to be open to further improvement. He had a breathing operation recently and it seems to have had a good effect for him. At the odds of 28/1 i think he will appreciate the good ground and should stay the trip today