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Frys.com Open (Oct 11th-14th)

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Frys.com Open, Cordevalle Golf Club, California (Thurs 11th-Sun 14th Oct 2012)

Course: Par 71 / 7,368 yards, gently undulating course with plenty of cleverly-placed bunkers, streams and trees – not that tough but requires accuracy off the tee / good putters will relish the greens

Recent Winners: 2010 Rocco Mediate, 2011 Bryce Molder

2012 sees the third renewal of this event at the Cordevalle course in wine country just south of San Jose, California – a decent length course but by no means one suited to the bombers as you have to place your tee-shots sensibly here; generous greens await however and plenty of birdies can be notched – not so much of a birdie-fest as last week but still should reward those who are hit straight and get close enough to give their putter a chance

Brief tips this week as haven’t had time to update my rankings recently – be sure to keep visiting the site as there will be weekly previews and analysis of both main golf tours in the future as well as some other articles and tip suggestions

Ok, for this week we shall start with a young man who came close for me last week but is worth another dabble this week for sure and a couple of others who have plenty of potential and could be due a big win

Jonas BLIXT > a popular pick last week and understandably so, he is a really good putter and seems to have an excellent temperament too; being in contention last week should obviously help him understand what it takes to win a main tour event. Highly-ranked in strokes gained (putting) which is a hot stat these days! 3rd overall in that and top of the pile last week – he should be able to take the confidence from last week and push on, the young Swede played well last year on the Web.com Tour (plenty of frame finishes) and this is a good opportunity for him to make a real name for himself on the main tour > 28 on Betfair reflects the weak field and his potential, still just enough to tempt me

Bud CAULEY > another terrific young talent and someone who should win a few tour events in the future; played well here last year when was 3rd and also made the most birdies that week so should feel comfortable on the greens; played well in the latter part of last year so that may be another reason for getting behind him this week, bound to be popular like Blixt > in fact he is down to 20 on Betfair so almost joint fav – probably not the greatest value in the world but from a trading point of view that will get my vote as I expect him to go much lower

Nicolas COLSAERTS > no reason to avoid the in-form Belgian as he should still be feeling great after his RC heroics; has posted a top 10 on this Tour this year and although making a debut here, if his putter works like it did at Medinah then he has the game to score low here> seems to have been backed into favouritism on Betfair as he’s about 20 on there now but that’s still a good price as if he starts well he can halve in price rapidly

Jimmy WALKER > another player who is maybe due to win big; returned last week from an injury and played well before fading a bit on Sunday – regularly makes cuts and makes plenty of birdies too (ranked 6th), bit worried about his accuracy off the tee but if he can keep it in play then he should prosper on the greens as he putts well from close to medium distance > 40 on Betfair currently

Matt EVERY > bit of a hit and miss player where he could go top 10 or miss the cut; played well in the Deutsche Bank and BMW events but tailed off in both with average last rounds; 5 top 10s from 13 cuts made – does make plenty of birdies and is no1 ranked for par4 birdie conversion. Played well last year on the Web.com Tour around this time with 3 top6s in 4 events > currently 80 on Betfair

Traders > Jason BOHN at 150 is worth a dabble for me as I expect him to shoot fairly low early on and that price could plummet… John Merrick is a possible at 90 as the Californian should be comfortable here and is in reasonable form, just misses too many short ones for me

Summary >

A fairly weak field and a very open event – some of these prices are relatively shocking as they are so low for unproven players but it does reflect their chances relative to this field – not advising huge stakes this week and we shall see how we go; looking to trade as usual

Will be interesting to see how Luke Guthrie gets on as he has obviously shown great form on the Web.com tour and has made an impression when playing on the main tour too a few months back

About Author

* UK born, now live in sunny Australia * Specialise in golf & football but also dabble on the nags, cricket, US sports, AFL, etc * Always looking to go against the flow and tend to trade most of the time

7 Comments

  1. Round 1 update and some good news with BLIXT (advised at 28) now at 14 to lay, CAULEY (advised at 20) down to 17 to lay and COLSAERTS (advised at 20) down to 6.8 to lay

    Walker & Every at +2 and +1 need to have very good rounds on Friday to feature but happy with 3 of my picks going so well; Colsaerts and Blixt looking very good and with O’Hern likely to come back to the pack tomorrow (I expect a 69 or so from him) then hopefully they will trade lower

    Encouraging start and plenty of profit available if trading these guys

  2. Colsaerts traded sub 6 earlier, Blixt traded as low as 10 so even better if you got lucky and picked the low point to exit!

  3. Mallinger ties course record with a dazzling 62 today but Colsaerts & Blixt still well-placed- plenty of golf left in this one yet!

  4. Blixt does the job and wins the Frys.com Open > not a bad week for our first golf tips!

    Blixt wins (advised at 28) and Walker (advised at 40) produces a great last round to end up tied 4th for anyone backing him on the fixed odds

    Plus there was plenty of profit for anyone trading Colsaerts, Blixt & Cauley

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