Grand Annual Chase 2014
This is the oldest race at the festival and also the oldest race in the National Hunt calendar which makes it fitting as being the curtain closer for the festival. The race is run over an extended two miles in which the runners will have to complete fourteen fences on their way to glory.
Grand Annual Chase 2014 – Trends
- (15-16) Set a maximum price of 20/1
- (15-16) Finished within the first 3 in last three starts
- (15-16) 1-3 Starts in the past 90 days with 2+ career wins
- (15-16) Break of between 11-45 days
- (15-16) Finished in the first 6 LTO
- (14-16) Set a maximum age of 9yo
- (14-16) Favour those with Graded experience
- (14-16) Made debut between 4yo and 6yo
- (13-16) Carrying between 10-0 and 10-11
- (13-16) Target IRE and FR breed runners
Grand Annual Chase 2014 – Trend Selection: Mr Mole (9/1) & Raya Star (16/1)
These are the two which come the closest to all of the trends although they both fail on the weight trend.
Grand Annual Chase 2014 – Blogger Selections
gghofman – Ned Buntline (Win) & Astracad (Saver)
Simply looked below 11st, raced in last 75days and 9 or younger for this, Ned Buntline has some very interesting pieces of form.
Zipster – His Excellency (EW 22/1) & Lancetto (EW 50/1)
I am going to play a couple each way in the final race of the festival, David Pipe and Tom Scu have had a good festival and have a chance of a cherry on the top with His Excellency in this race, runner up in the Scottish Champion Chase at Musselburgh last time and only narrowly beaten off his mark of 140, comes here 2lbs higher today but a mark that is still appealing, his numbers are not great but is a previous Cheltenham winner and comes here off an ideal break.
Lancetto was last seen at Ascot when finishing well behind Sire De Grugy and Hidden Cyclone so no disgrace in that, a winner off 135 so only 6lbs higher but the 7lb claimer may well balance that out, has won here at Cheltenham and will have no problems with the ground.
SeamusShanley – Raya Star, Astracad (Saver)
I shall be looking to the Alan King yard again in the final race of the festival as Raya Star did show a lot of ability on his last start. He was very keen in the Betfair Chase event in Newbry however still was less than 3 lengths behind Module who ran a cracker in the Queen Mother chase on Wednesday. If the horse can be settled early on he should be able to strike late and go well.
My saver selection is Astracad who has placed form over the course finishing third behind Eastlake and still looks on a well treated mark since. He should relish the good conditions today to run into a place.
Darylrogerson – Claret Cloak
Has to hold an oustanding chance off a mark of 142 if the formlines holds up and it looks to be of too high a standard not to. Fourth last time out in the Henvry VIII Grade 1 chase at Sandown won by Hinterland, with Grandouet and Taquin De Seuil also ahead and Balder Success behind. The latter pair mentioned have since won 4 out of 5 graded chases between them including the JLT Novices Chase yesterday. Claret Cloak set a solid pace and was picked off by quicker and classier rivals in the end but finishing only 10 length behind the winner gives him serious credit here considering those four rivals are all rated above 150 now.
Looks a well handicapped consistent sort and exactly the type that can go well here.
Jaydubs – Claret Cloak
It doesn’t fit some of the trends here but when you see it good and good to soft ground record you can understand why it hasn’t been out on course over the winter. On good ground 1, 1, 1, 1, 4. While good to soft gives you 1, 3, 16, 2. The 4th on good ground came in the Racing Post Trophy at Sandown when beaten by Hinterland who was well fancied for the Queen Mother, Grandouet who ran in the Arkle while 3rd placed Taquin Du Seuil won a grade 2 at Haydock before winning the JLT. Add to this the impressive Balder Success was 12 lengths behind but won the next twice and is around 15lbs higher than it now, it should have more to come if not affected by the time off course and the good ground remains.