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Hofmans Guide to the Golf – US Masters 2013 11th-14th April 2013


Probably the best 4 days of golf, 4 days from the US Masters at Augusta, unlike all the other majors the course has been the same every year and the field is select. Here is a handy guide to helping you pick the winner this week.

Also check out gecko’s informative blogs on this weeks golf

Winning at Augusta is a dream for many

Avoid backing last years winner – Only 3 players have won back to back Masters, their names Nicklaus, Faldo, Woods. Watson doesn’t come in setting the world on fire and it would be huge ask for him to match 3 greats of the game, and go back to back.

Look for a player who is based in the USA : And most importantly is based in the South, but that is the case for nearly all in this day and age, all this years winners in PGA tour have been Americans anyway. Of top 3 finishers from 2004 through 2012 at Augusta 69% or 24 of 35 players were residents in the Southern United States, this inclludes foreign players who base themselves in the Southern States such as Schwartel. 

The following list provides those who are non USA based : Angel Cabrera (past champion at 150/1), George Coetzee, Nicolas Colsaerts, Jamie Donaldson, Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano, Branden Grace, Padraig Harrington, Hiroyuki Fujita, Paul Lawrie, Matteo Manassero, Francesco Molinari, Jose Maria Olazabal, Adam Scott (top3 2012), Richard Sterne, Thaworn Wirachant.

Avoid backing the World number 1 :   The World no 1 hasn’t won the tournament since 2002 when Tiger Woods won by 3 shots from Retief Goosen. This has a lot to do with the unique challenge the masters presents. two players ranked outside top 50 have won since 2002 so don’t discount them from the off. Four of the last six winners at Augusta started at triple figure prices, and 2012 Masters winner Bubba Watson was priced at over 50/1 when the tournament began.

Past Masters form is much more important than recent form: Each of the last fifteen Augusta winners did have a top ten finish earlier in the season, but Form at the main warm-up events appears to not be factor None of the last seven winners of either the Arnold Palmer Invitational or the Houston Open went on to win at Augusta. Also note no amateur has ever won the Masters and likely never wil ldue to the high level of modern golf. Masters rookies won the first two Masters in 1934 and 1935, but only once since (Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979) so look for previous course form. Do however look for previous winning form only langer won his maiden title at Augusta. The past 12 Masters winners all made the cut at the previous year’s Masters.

Avoid those over 40 : Of the twelve winners of the Masters this century, none have been younger than 25, and none older than 39. The last player over 40 to wear the green jacket was Mark O’Meara in 1998. And even he was just breaking 40.

Look for a long hitter: last four winners were all inside the top 60 on the PGA Tour for driving distance.

The stats are against Bubba Watson repeating this year

Potential Bets:

Jason Day 50/1 , M.Kuchar35/1, H.Mahan 55/1, A.Scott 28/1 , N.Watney 66/1,  T.Woods 4/1 , Zach Johnson 125/1

About Author

Based in Dublin, Ireland. Introduced to betting through horse racing, placed my first bet on kicking king to win the Gold Cup at 4/1. Used my love of all sports to take an interest in betting on sports. Qualified accountant with a way with numbers. Over years have found the niche sports most rewarding with NFL and Cycling, but always dabble in bit of everything. Focus in future is good staking and improved trading. Also blog at

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