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Horse Racing – Ballybrit Galway Festival 2013 – Day 5 Picks and Tips 2nd August 2013

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So Day 3 and Day 4 have gone much better with a good priced winner on top of a winning bet on a shorter horse and an e/w return on a bigger priced horse. It finally looks like the sun might shine on Galway today so lets get our homework under way.

Galway Day 5

5.05

Hidden Oasis 9/2

So a nice maiden to get us under way of course its over 7 furlongs as you will at Galway.  The Ground is standing as heavy now and it won’t get worse but its unlikely to get better so I will be looking at backing horses who will want cut in the ground. Going oppose the favourite backdrop on this ground with something bit more breed for this. Both Bleeding Hearts and Captain Moonlite interest but my money will be on Hidden Oasis for this. He was in a nice debut run midfield in race won by 2000 Guineas winner.  Improved on last run again and looks like the test of 7 at Galway will suit and his relatives handled the soft ground too.

5.40

Jannas Jingle 8/1

A lower rated handicap over just past the mile trip here and it will be one the more staying types will get with the ground. C’est ma Souer took the eye from Bellewstown run but showed nothing earlier in week to suggest good enough to win this. Secret Locket of course will prove popular for some due to the connections but I have my doubts this heavy ground will see enough improvement. Campestral Scene showed his best on Monday with a 3rd of a furlong short of this trip, not sure it will see enough improvement to get a win.

Bradys Hill had nice win at listowel 2 runs back but flopped last time out and has been more bad than good of late. Woodsophiesmile has to show that despite the american breeding she will take to his ground, the yard is banging them in now but theirs not enough form for me their to build on an impressive looking 3rd last time on good to firm. Snakes and Ladders got up to win last time, but got put up 5lbs for that and while ground should suit prehaps the value lies in Jannas Jingle. Not too keen on top weights but it seems the right option here, went down just a length at Hamilton on the last run when finding trouble in running.  Solid thirds on soft and heavy ground inspire confidence also.

 

6.15

Agreement 5/6

A 1 mile 4 furlong  maiden a true staying test for these 3 years olds.  With that in mind Agreement is the one for me the Weld horse is on debut and his breeding suggests he might not be all at home on the heavy ground.  Agreement had a very good run on heavy at Tipperary that is by far the best piece of form on offer here. Made all that day and reckon he gets the hill too. Trainer won this in 2008 and 2009 so knows what type it takes.

 

6.50

Kingdom 9/2, Curley Bill 7/2,

As in previous race these handicapper will take on the 1 mile 4 furlong test today.  Valbucca rattled off a hat trick earlier in the year, but things have not gone so well as mark has risen, will like these wet conditions but not sure his mark gives him much room to win. The top 3 in the market are the ones who really catch my eye.  Off those the one I can least make case for is the Weld Show Court who seemed flatter by the win last time and interesting Weld has failed to win this race in 20 years.  Kingdom from the O’Brien yard . He goes on all types of ground his win last time was impressive as was his close 2nd to Pay Day Kitten a horse i regard well. Curley Bill will love the fact this ground has got so heavy,  recent form is impressive and the adding of a hood could bring out further progress.

 

7.25

Miltary Bowl 4/1

A 1 mile 6 furlong race with 8 runners.  Fleur de Nuit a though step up here and ran well at this track in 2011, but a lot needed to improve on that here. Justification has bit to do giving 4lbs here judging on mixed form of late and last run at Dundalk nothing to wtie home about. Unaccompanied is no doubt a very talented horses. Military Bowl offers more of the value, he was a pricey French purchase who does truly get the heavy ground. Got off mark at Bellewstown. Should now handle the Galway hill and Martin in better from than Weld for Galway this year and price tempts.

7.55

Our Girl Lucy 17/2

Good prospects in poor renewal handles ground form of latest run works out well.

About Author

Based in Dublin, Ireland. Introduced to betting through horse racing, placed my first bet on kicking king to win the Gold Cup at 4/1. Used my love of all sports to take an interest in betting on sports. Qualified accountant with a way with numbers. Over years have found the niche sports most rewarding with NFL and Cycling, but always dabble in bit of everything. Focus in future is good staking and improved trading. Also blog at http://sportinginvest.com/

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