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Horse Racing: Monday 15th October – Aidenldrebin Selection


2.00 Yarmouth BUBBELAH (nap)

The second division of the nursery on the card looks a reasonably interesting affair for the grade, with one or two these moving into this sphere for the first time having shaped as though capable of better in novices/maidens.

The selection, trained by David Simcock, is a son of Zoffany who was never involved when beating one home on debut in a 6.5f novice event at Doncaster in June, but he offered a bit more in a 7f novice auction event at Ascot five weeks later, waited with and travelling better than most but unable to sustain his progress inside the final furlong and having to settle for fifth behind Nuremburg (beaten 12 lengths). His third and qualifying run came in a 6f novice contest at Newmarket (July) 73 days ago, dropped in and patiently ridden, well off the pace when briefly shaken up over a furlong out, coming home in eighth behind Garrus (beaten lengths). It is clear to see what the plan has been with this colt, not unfancied for his first two outings but probably set a bit too much to do second time out when unable to sustain a forward move inside the final furlong. The step back to six furlongs under very considerate handling last time clearly didn’t see him in the best light, but he’s reunited with Spencer and returned to 7f here; no surprise to see it all click for this colt now moving into nursery company from an opening mark of 64.

The Richard Hannon-trained Ginger Fox is a nicely-bred son of Iffraaj who was a well-beaten third behind the smart Kessaar on debut in a 6f novice race at Windsor back in June, and he again ran to just a modest level when a soundly-held eighth in a 7f novice event at Newbury in August in which Borehan and Sheila’s Showcase dead-heated (beaten 8 lengths). His latest outing came in a 6f novice contest at Salisbury a month ago, tracking the leaders and shaken up two furlongs out, keeping on to take second inside the final furlong behind 9-length winner Jash. He quite simply bumped into one last time, the winner going on to finish second in the Middle Park Stakes, and the return to 7f coupled with an opening mark of 67 now moving into this sphere should see him very competitive.

Mark Johnston’s Unbeatable Dancer is a daughter of Invincible Spirit who offered little on debut when fading from prominence to finish seventh in a 7f fillies’ novice contest at Kempton in July, but she offered a good bit more when fourth in a similar contest over 6f at Chelmsford a month later, close up and travelling well to a point but merely plugging on once off the bridle. Her third and qualifying run came in a 6f fillies’ novice event at Carlisle a month ago, attempting to make all and pushed along over two furlongs out, headed inside the two furlong marker and eventually coming home in third behind Summer Daydream (beaten lengths). She has shown a fairly similar level of form in novice company, having few excuses, ridden prominently/from the front on all three starts; quite whether she wants seven furlongs remains to be seen while an opening mark of 70 doesn’t look overly generous.

The Ed Walker-trained Global Army is a son of Lethal Force who beat just one rival home on his first two starts in novice events at Newbury (7f) and Windsor (6f), but he wasn’t seen to best effect in a 7f event at Brighton the following month, travelling nicely off the pace but having short of room from over a furlong out, coming home in fifth behind Riviera Nights. His latest outing came 11 days ago in a 7f novice contest at Lingfield, waited with in midfield and pushed along two furlongs out, coming wide into the straight and keeping on steadily inside the final furlong to finish sixth behind Attainment (beaten 3¾ lengths). He gives the impression there will be better to come at some point, especially in this sort of company, but an opening mark of 71 looks nothing more than fair.

The William Jarvis-trained Queen Constantine is a daughter of Holy Roman Emperor who shaped with some promise on debut when a staying on sixth behind Aquarius in a 6f novice event at Newmarket (July) back in June, but she didn’t really improve on that when fading from prominence to finish sixth behind Ceratonia in a 7f fillies’ novice race at Ascot the following month. Having finished third of four in a 1m event here next time (wore blinkers), she was pitched into a useful fillies’ nursery at Newmarket 16 days ago (hooded), pushed along from an early stage and ridden along halfway, making some progress inside the final furlong to finish in eighth behind Chaleur (beaten 6 lengths). This represents an easier task than the one she faced last time, never really travelling at any stage but at least closing up come the finish on that occasion; the headgear she has worn the last twice is discarded here.

Amy Murphy’s Kennocha is a daughter of Kodiac who showed minor promise in a trio of novice/maiden contests, her best effort coming on the third of those outings when fourth of seven to Self Assessment in a 7f auction event at Wolverhampton at the end of August, tracking the leaders and short room on the home bend but responding well for pressure. She was sent off the 4/1 market leader for her nursery bow at Kempton four weeks ago, close up and taking over two furlongs out, soon headed and quickly left behind by eventual winner First Thought, coming home 6 lengths adrift of that rival at the line. She showed improvement for the step into this company last time, but she was well placed throughout and had no answers when the winner swooped; vulnerable in a deeper race.

The Charlie McBride-trained Molly Mai is a daughter of Mayson who caught the eye on debut in a 6f novice auction event at Windsor in July and, having failed to build on that at Wolverhampton next time, again shaped well when chasing home Lively Lydia in a 7f novice auction contest at Kempton a month later. However, she proved something of a disappointment on her nursery debut over 1m here last month, sitting in behind the leader and urged along three furlongs out, ridden to try and challenge two furlongs out but soon held and dropping away inside the final furlong to finish last of four behind Massam (beaten 12½ lengths). Given the promise of her first and third runs, more could have been expected last time; the step back to seven furlongs may well help her cause, and it’s a little soon to be forgetting the promise of her previous efforts in novice company, but a bounce back is called for here.

About Author

Have been interested in horse racing since 2000, particularly the breeding side of things. Naturally, I enjoy picking apart maiden races given my love of pedigrees, but I am also at home with handicaps and Group races. Spotting potential early is very rewarding, as is picking up on a handicap project from an early stage, with my most satisfying success stories in recent years being Pere Blanc, More Of That, Turtle Watch and Arab Dawn.

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