1:55pm York DBS Premier Yearling Stakes
Kool Kompany sits on a very good rating of 111 as a dual Group 2 winner, but 24 horse have tried to win this holding a triple figure rating and only one has duly won so I think, taking into account some of the previous winning SP’s, we could do well to look for an improver.
Two catch my eye in particular, both having won easily last time out after chasing home rivals that have since shown themselves to be Group level horses. Marcano finished 3rd on debut behind Adaay who’s midfield finish in the Coventry earned him a rating of 102 and Kodia Bear who reversed the form with Adaay in the Coventry and then won a Listed race to earn rating of 105. Additionally there are some decent maiden winners in behind him from that race including his own maiden win next time out over 7 furlongs. The step back to 6f should suit more today and he’s in with an each way chance.
Karl Burke’s juvenile form over the past week reads as 5 winners and 4 runner ups from 16 horses and including one of both at the track yesterday. Arthur Martinleake’s debut couldn’t have suited less with a small field over 5 furlongs meaning it wasn’t conducted at a serious pace and with him being away very slowly he wasn’t really in contention despite doing his best work at the end. Much better in his following race when beaten by Louie De Palma who has only seen a really classy juvenile in Ivawood beat him to date. As he holds a rating of 103 now you could allow Burke’s juvenile some serious mark up on his official rating of 79.
MARCANO @ 25/1 each way
ARTHUR MARTINLEAKE @ 40/1 each way
Winner of this race last year for Gary Moore where he benefitted greatly that day from a strong pace (both Powerful Win who led and Baby Queen who went with him finished last and second last doing too much in front) but since off the track for nearly a year and sold out of that yard. On previous attempted this mark of 75 may look against him and the pace shouldn’t be too ferocious either, so unless there’s a bit of money for him I think he’ll vie for a place at best.
Could be one of note after running well over this course and distance last time out. The winner has looked just as well since but he was battling for second with the third and that one has let the form down somewhat. It’s worth taking into account this will be his first run for Charles Hills despite having being trained by the Hills family, and this trainer only has 1 win from 36 runners with new horses having their first run for him in handicaps so I’m not convinced today is his day, but will be one to keep an eye on as he looks feasibly handicapped.
Runner up over this course and distance in a stakes race last year off a mark of 87 but has looked like he’s regressing since joining Harris’ stable now down to 73 despite winning off 70on the all weather earlier this year. He’s been tried in various headgear and now they opt for a mixture of a hood and cheekpieces. The latter has never really seen him shine and I can readily pass him over.
Two wins from 30 runs is hardly inspiring and it’s worth noting those wins came in October and November as trainer Ben De Haan has a significantly better strike rate between October and December than he does during the three months prior with an 11% strike rate overshadowing a 1.6% strike rate (2 wins from 122 between July and September). Clearly the horses reflect the stable’s form and the yard are currently winless from their last 11 runners stretching back to May.
Runner up on four consecutive course and distance races last year before finally landed a stakes race on the 5th attempt. Has been fancied to go well on most of her races by the market but hasn’t justified such support and is now 0 from 7 in handicaps. Yard were absolutely flying last summer when she won (26% strike rate during June and July) and typically the yard starts to slow down from now in to the winter months so I’m of the opinion she’s probably missed her chances this year and will look elsewhere
DREAMS OF GLORY
Five course wins including two over this distance suggest Dreams Of Glory should have gone plenty better this year than already shown. Probably needs a bit more respite from the handicapper to get in front and another that can be overlooked.
Age looks like it’s catching up a bit with this solid servant to the stable and was primed to go when landing an apprentice handicap last month and that makes it one handicap win from his last 21 runs. Should be easier races found that than and a race like this could help his handicap mark down a notch or two.
Found a new lease of life recently after going quite stale on the all weather over the last couple of years and has won three of her last four races all at this track. She looks to have been found another winnable race here despite being 6lbs higher and up a class.
Selection: MOLLY JONES (NAP) @ 7/2
4:15 pm York Galtres Stakes
Dermot Weld’s Starlet chased home Carla Bianca on debut who bounded clear off a fairly routine pace. It’s more signficant that the 1st, 3rd, 4th & 5th all had the experience of four or more prior starts and three have won their race next time out. The winner has picked up two Listed races from two races since and is now rated 108. Looking at it one face value, Starlet run in to the 90’s on debut which is a terrific performance and comfortably came away over this trip last month.
She should match most of these already on her performances to date, but being only twice raced she has the scope to improve well past thei field and I’ll take her to win today.
Selection: STARLET @ 4/1