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Horse Racing: Thursday 24th January – Aidanldrebin Selection


1.45 LingfieldGREEN MILLIONAIRE (nap)

This appears to be a typically run-of-the-mill sprint maiden for the time of the year, the majority of those with experience showing just a modest level of form to date, for all one or two of them are almost certainly capable of a bit better somewhere down the line, but there is at least an extremely interesting newcomer from a decent stable to add some much needed spice.

The selection is a son of Green Desert who is a three-parts brother to smart multiple 5-6f winner (including at Listed level) Mirza and 5f 3yo fibresand winner Nially Noo (both by Oasis Dream) and a half brother to Listed-placed 6f 3yo winner Millybaa, multiple 5f winner Millinsky and UK/UAE 5-6f winner Juantorena, out of a very smart multiple 5f winner (including at Group 2/3 level) who was a half sister to high-class sprinter Prince Sabo. This nicely bred colt is trained by Jeremy Gask and sold for 30,000gns as a yearling, making clear appeal on pedigree as a close relation of two winners, including a Listed scorer at the minimum distance, as well as being a half brother to a trio of sprint winners and out of a high-class speedster who was a half sister to another. He comes from a decent enough stable that does has had the odd newcomer either make a winning debut or going close to doing so, and their representative here certainly stands out on pedigree in what looks an inherently winnable race; concedes experience to all of his rivals and has stall nine to contend with, but it wouldn’t overly surprise to see this well-connected son of Green Desert get off the mark at the first time of asking and continue his yard’s good start to 2013.

The John Jenkins-trained Jermatt is an eight-race maiden who has rarely been out the frame so far, for all his first four runs amounted to little in form terms, stepping up on those efforts when signing off 2012 with a pair of seconds in 5f maidens at Southwell (beaten a nose) and Wolverhampton, though the former saw him finish runner-up to a 49-rated rival who has achieved nothing since. He has since posted a couple of respectable efforts in a pair of course and distances maidens this year, attempting to make all the first time but ending up a soundly-held fourth behind Outbid, and his latest run saw him come home a 3¼-length second to Tanghan. The fact he was put in his place but a lesser-exposed rival last time suggests he will remain vulnerable to improvers, showing just a modest level form at best so far this winter in similar events; giving upwards of a stone to his three-year-old rivals should ensure he will have to settle for a minor role at best once again.

The John Berry-trained Magic Ice is a daughter of Royal Applause who debuted in a 5f maiden at Wolverhampton little more than a month ago, sent off an unconsidered 33/1 chance but shaping with a fair amount of promise, in rear and shuffled along past halfway before making encouraging headway into a challenging position approaching the final furlong, keeping on without matching the speed of the front four as she came home in fifth behind Saga Lout (beaten 6¼ lengths). She duly stepped up on that when returning to the same course and distance for a three-runner event a fortnight later, going off the 5/6 market leader; sat in behind the leading pair until pushed along to close passing the two furlong marker, making headway to thrown down a strong challenge approaching the final furlong but proving unable to overhaul Faffa, coming home half a length adrift at the line. It was a fair enough run in defeat but also went some way to exposing her limitations, unable to get the better of a 58-rated rival (subject of a controversial ride next time out) though it was only her second outing; still shown enough for her to command respect in a field of this nature, but may find one or two others too good once again here.

The David Barron-trained First Serve is a daughter of Bachelor Duke who didn’t shape all that badly in a 5f maiden at Ripon last summer won by the very smart juvenile Rosdhu Queen (subsequent Group 3 winner Melody Of Love finished fifth), close to the action over on the far side until ridden and fading from over a furlong out to eventually finish sixth of 14 behind the subsequent Cheveley Park Stakes winner (beaten 6¾ lengths). However, she didn’t improve as expected when sent off the 5/2 favourite for a 5f maiden at Southwell a month or so later, prominent but pushed along before halfway and making no impression from over a furlong out, eventually finishing a well-held fifth behind Girl At The Sands (beaten 5¾ lengths). She wasn’t seen again until contesting a 6f fillies’ maiden at Wolverhampton 11 days ago, sent off a 10/1 chance; raced in behind the leader and was shaken up to challenge over a furlong from home, her effort only flattening out inside the final furlong as she finished third behind Lead Role (beaten 2 lengths). It was a respectable first run back from a five-month absence, travelling well to a point and looking a big threat until the final furlong; step back to the minimum distance ought not to inconvenience on that evidence, and no surprise to see her very much involved at the business end of matters here.

The John Hills-trained Dangerous Age is a daughter of Sleeping Indian who is a half sister to 5f 2yo winner River Rye and 6f 2yo fibresand winner Springheel Jake, out of a 1m 3yo AW winner who was a half sister to useful UK/US triple 1m winner Barrister and useful 6-7f 2yo winner Forwood, family of top-class miler Reform. This filly made her debut outing in the same course and distance median auction maiden as contested by Jermatt earlier this month, sent off a 5/1 chance; broke on terms and raced with enthusiasm in behind the leaders, ridden and outpaced over a furlong out before staying on inside the final furlong to finish third behind Outbid (beaten 1½ lengths). She finished ahead of the vastly more experienced Jermatt and shaped as though the run would improve her, for all she knew enough to race close to the action from the outset; was doing all of her best work late and may want another furlong in time, but related to a winner at this distance and will be sharper now, so no surprise to see her in the thick of things when it counts.

The Robert Cowell-trained Lady Farah is a daughter of Exceed And Excel who is a half sister to Group 3-placed 5-6f 2yo winner (including at Listed level) Saxford and fairly useful UK/UAE triple 6f winner Dubai Set, out of a 7f 4yo AW winner who was a full sister to multiple 5-6f winner Makabul. This filly debuted in the same 6f fillies’ maiden at Wolverhampton 11 days ago as First Serve, for which she was sent off a very weak 14/1 chance; was steadied at the start and raced at the rear of the field, making headway on the outer before halfway and was ridden to try and mount a challenge well over a furlong out, unable to do so and fading approaching the final furlong to eventually finish eighth of 12 behind Lead Role (beaten 9 lengths). She shaped as though fitness rather than greenness was the issue on that occasion, also perhaps doing too much too soon with her mid-race move; market that day suggested she would improve for the run and liable to do a lot better with that behind her, for all she has seven lengths to find with First Serve, and interesting to see whether she proves stronger in the betting this time around now trying 5f.

About Author

Have been interested in horse racing since 2000, particularly the breeding side of things. Naturally, I enjoy picking apart maiden races given my love of pedigrees, but I am also at home with handicaps and Group races. Spotting potential early is very rewarding, as is picking up on a handicap project from an early stage, with my most satisfying success stories in recent years being Pere Blanc, More Of That, Turtle Watch and Arab Dawn.

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