JCB Triumph Hurdle 2014
The opening race on the final day of the festival is the JCB Triumph Hurdle which is a Grade 1 hurdle run over two miles and one furlongs in which the novice hurdlers will jump eight hurdles. First run back in 1939 the leading trainer of the race is Nicky Henderson who has produced five winners since 1985 and last year saw success for the Irish, their first success in this race since Willie Mullins win back in 2002.
JCB Triumph Hurdle 2014 – Trends
- (16-16) Nothing bigger than 33/1
- (16-16) Avoid anything with Blinkers applied
- (16-16) Must have won in last 3 starts (Ideally LTO)
- (16-16) Won at least a Class 3 race (Or OGB)
- (16-16) Break of between 16-60 days
- (16-16) Did not finish 2nd or 3rd on debut (0-66)
- (15-16) Made 1-3 starts in last 90 days
- (15-16) Stallion has produced 4yo winners
- (15-16) Ran over 2m or extended LTO
- (13-16) Previously ran in a Class 1 race (Or OGB)
- (Additional) Finished more than a length ahead LTO
- (Additional) LTO was not at Newbury (0-16)
- (Additional) Not 2nd two starts ago (1-59)
JCB Triumph Hurdle 2014 – Trend Selection: Guitar Pete (8/1)
JCB Triumph Hurdle 2014 – Blogger Selections
Mato – Calipto (NAP – 6/1)
The Nicholls inmate has simply the best form on offer with Activial winning at Kempton last week to frank the form from the Newbury race, this horse is my banker of the meeting, if form ever means anything then this fella is home already, the Irish look to have a few good eachway shouts and it may be that they are the dangers to my selection as I can’t have him beat by any of the British entries (unless Activial runs) but I don’t think he will as I’m told they prefer Aintree which in my opinion is a good move but back to the Irish, Guitar Pete looks a danger and I couldn’t oppose anyone having a eachway bet on that one.
Zipster – Broughton
The four I have on my shortlist which have made it into the race are the favourite Calipto, Broughton, Tiger Roll and Adriana Des Mottes. The Willie Mullins trained ADM was runner up in a G2 hurdle over in Ireland last time out, the runner who finished back in third and some two and half lengths off him was 8th in the Fred Winter on Wednesday but I am not sure the ground will be in his favour. Tiger Roll has two lengths to find on Guitar Pete from when they met at Leopardstown last month and from that race Orgilgo Bay has been out to finished 3rd in the Fred Winter.
Broughton was runner up on his hurdling debut in a G2 at Doncaster and then went on to success in a listed race last time out at Musselburgh and a race where Clarcam who was five lengths off Broughton was travelling well and in with every chance when falling two out in the Fred Winter. Calipto has done nothing wrong under his current yard, winner of both starts and will improve for this run here today.
For me Broughton has put him two very solid starts over hurdles, the form from his last start is good and although the yard are still waiting for their first festival winner, this could be it today.
gghofman – Calipto, Broughton (Saver)
Guitar pete represents the same yard that won this last year but he doesn’t look as good with just slim win over Tiger roll. Not sure his second at this track shows much as field that day looked weak enough in hindsight and royal Irish Hussar is a bigger price than him for this but he comes off a very poor run at Doncaster and not seen since.
Rutherglen has come in winning but has a lot on his table considering the 2nd in his last win (3/4 length 2nd) was a 12th in a handicap earlier in the week. The same could be said of Pearl Castle who would need a huge step up to get involved here. Lindenhurt faces a lay off and has form to overturn with Guitar Pete also.
For me Ruby is unsure if either Mullins horse can do the job, he has flashed his tail and some think he won’t like the drying ground and he could easily be reversed by his stable mate. Broughton is worth a sneak in the market with the last piece of form looking decent and had good turn of foot on the flat with drying ground likely to suit. Star in this race is likely to be Calipto , yes Nicholls is having some issues and lots to like about his two Newbury wins so far. Highly regarded so talent not in question just needs to like ground and take to hill.
SeamusShanley – Calipto, Tiger Roll (Saver)
It has been a quiet festival for Pual Nicholls but I feel he should be able to get off the mark with the impressive looking Calipto whos win against Activial shows all the form needed to win this race. He had several good progressive types in behind him in.
Activial, Dawalan and Baradari ( who ran on well in the Fred Winter) and be more than capable for improving off that run to win here. My saver each way bet will go on Tiger Roll who did not seem to take to the heavy conditions in Leopardstown last time out and under better conditions I think it can reverse that form with Guitar Pete
Jaydubs – Calipto
The Adonis has always been a good yardstick for winners of the Triumph hurdle but with none of the runners in that race running it may be worthwhile looking at Calipto’s form who saw Adonis winner Actival off with ease in November at Newbury. Also in 4th that day was Dawalan, who won twice since, and went off favourite earlier in the week. Baradari in 6th finished 5th in the Fred Winter and that early win at Newbury for Calipto looks absolutely rock solid. Its prep run again at Newbury ended in a facile victory over Little Jon that ran well in the Imperial Cup at Sandown recently and with only 1 more horse getting within 50lengths there should be more to come. The Irish challenge for me is not as strong with horses looking like they want further. Royal Irish Hussar was beaten well before the last lto which leaves the ex Johnston flat Horse Broughton as the danger.
Darylrogerson – Calipto
Sets a big standard for the field to chase here having beaten Activial who won the Adonis Hurdle readily and also beat Little John who ran well to 6th in the Imperial Cup at weekend, when giving away a double penalty. Done both with consumate ease so far and there looks plenty left untapped.
I have to give a shout to Rutherglen here also who looks to have form claims to at least rival the shorter horses in the market, namely Broughton and Guitar Pete. The former beat Thorpe home readily by almost 9 lengths off level weights at Musselbrugh last time out when prior Rutherglen had given 8lbs away to the same horse and beaten him by 6 lengths. Orgilgo Bay finished a fantastic 3rd in the Fred Winter Hurdle two days ago and prior to that didn’t beat any of his five rivals at Leopardstown when 23 lengths behind Guitar Pete with Plinth and Tiger Roll also ahead but prior to that he couldn’t justify 8/11 faovuritism when beaten 47 lengths by Rutherglen.