Ladbrokes World Hurdle 2014
The feature on day three is the Ladbrokes World Hurdle which is a Grade 1 open to runner aged 4yo+ and is run over three miles in which the runners will be faced with twelve hurdles. This is a race dominated by Paul Nicholls and Ruby Walsh in recent years with Big Bucks winning the race for four consecutive years between 2009-2012.
Ladbrokes World Hurdle 2014 – Trends
- (16-16) Aged between 6yo-9yo
- (16-16) No headgear fitted
- (16-16) Break of between 16-90 days (Ideally 31-60)
- (14-16) Runners either GB or FR breed
- (13-16) First four in the market
- (13-16) Finished in first 2 LTO
- (13-16) Ran in a field of 6-10 LTO
- (10-16) Not Important – Trainer from South of England
- (5-16) Not Important – Debut was at Newbury
Ladbrokes World Hurdle 2014 – Trend Selection: Rule The World (10/1)
Ladbrokes World Hurdle 2014 – Blogger Selections
Aidenldrebin – More Of That
You can see Dan’s full reasoning for this selection in his Daily Selection Post.
gghofman – Annie Power, Salubrious (EW Value)
Big Bucks was the big champ of this race till having to miss out last year. In his absence Solwhit took advantage now it’s a strong renewal and the debut single seasonal appearance for Big Bucks is not a good run and this is a horse who has usually run 3 times before the festival.
Annie Power is no doubt the talent of this race given his regarding by the yard. The mare fears no one so gets a kind 7lb allowance from rivals for this. Done everything asked so far and Walsh Mullin combo are nailing the hurdle races this week.
Rule the world caught eye as an each way here but Salubrious I feel could overturn form with More of that over this extended trip. Bad luck last run should have been way closer and in contention to win.
Zipster – Annie Power
The questions all surround Big Bucks, he did not look the dominant runner he has been when third here back in January but then again he was returning from over a year off the track so the question is how well has he come on from that run, will he be back to his best and will he as an 11yo still be good enough to beat Annie Power or could even At Fishers Cross find some form to get involved, will the unbeaten More Of That remain unbeaten! So many questions and you can even throw Rule The World and Zarkandar into the mix if at the top of their game so this is by no means a two horse race.
Zarkandar’s last two starts on good ground have seen him beaten and seen him beat The New One and that is pretty solid form but stepping up to three miles for the first time is a big concern. Rule The World is yet to do it at this level and McCoy taking the At Fishers Cross ride raises concerns for More Of That although he has got it wrong in the past! I would really like McCoy’s ride if he was coming here in better form but not for me.
I have it between the front two, my heart says Big Buck’s but my head says Annie Power, the young mare has pretty much beaten with ease everything that has been put up against her and the last couple of years has been tough for Big Buck’s in this race, he has been made to work hard for the win and he will be again this year but for me his career is coming to an end and the young mare Annie Power can go on to success here.
Jaydubs – Big Bucks
It may be a sentimental pick here but the hype over Annie Power is making Big bucks a big enough price to bet on. Its reappearance was shown to see STD got it wrong and went far too early, it maybe was a ploy to test him out but whatever the result it will have come a lot for that run. At Fishers Cross finished ahead of him that day but was still beaten by a 50/1 shot in Knockara Beau and that tempers enthusiam on it. More of That is the danger today but still looks too inexperienced for a race this hot.
Darylrogerson – Annie Power
The questions remain about whether she’ll stay or not but the way she cruised up the hill from Zarkandar when clocking a great time for the conditions in my eyes suggest she’ll stay. We have a useful yardstick in her beating of Glens Melody last March as that one only just got touched off by Quevega in the Mares Hurdle on Tuesday and that form can be confirmed with the 3rd Jennie’s Jewel finishing a similar distance behind once more. Her race prior to that she beat Defy Logic, Don Cossack and The Tullow Tank and all three have gone on to win Grade 1 Chases or Hurdles since. Ruby Walsh hasn’t had to use his whip in the six times he’s ridden her so far and whilst she’s not encountered good ground to date she’s by Shirocco so I don’t have any concerns about that suitability.
She had options to go elsewhere and it looks telling that Ruby Walsh, who partnered Big Bucks to all his wins, rides her here as he must think she has a serious chance if so. I think’s she’s capable of putting in an outstanding performance here.
Mato – Big Bucks
At 9/2 I cannot believe the comments of some on bucks run in the cleeve, the horse had been off over 400 days the ground was against him (very heavy) and he got tired on the run in (he is 11) although the form of the winner is suspect, he is a decent horse in his own right and afc was only a neck away, Paul Nicholls is always positive about his runners but I’ve noticed he is very upbeat about big bucks home work and he is 20k heavier now, at the prices he is a stand out bet to me, go e/w he is a bet to nothing, PP are giving you a bet that if Annie Power wins if you come 2nd you get your stake back! Do you believe bucks will be out of the first 2? No I’m with BIG BUCKS, I think if he is anywhere near his old self he wins, the mare has to prove she stays and she has not beat that much (although I think she is a star of the future) its about today and today my bet is with the 11 yr old.
Gecko – Annie Power
Will she stay? that seems to be the question and if she does then she can take this away from Big Bucks who will presumably be gallant but may be now passing on the mantle – others could feature too with Medinas a possible decent outsider who could sneak into the frame at 50/1.
Annie Power though is the pick, unbeaten in ten starts and with good form lines, helped by my tuesday pick, Glen’s Melody- she won here in january and was pulling away well at the end on soft ground, and that was just 3 furlongs shorter or so.