3.05 Goodwood – Lennox Stakes
The Race Of The Day is based on the most valuable race from Today’s Horse Racing Meetings and we deliver Horse Racing Tips from each blogger to see if we can come to an agreement on a selection. The statistics for today’s Race Of The Day can be seen below, apart from Overall, Month and Day all data supplied is based on either flat or jumps racing depending on the daily race, all odds are based on SP.
We have a new selection process for our bloggers, instead of relying on someone to add the selections we now have an automatic process in which when a blogger has a selection he/she can now add it to the post themselves which means you get the selections as they are ready, this means that the post is now put up without any selections in order for it to be available for the bloggers to add them.
Also because there is not always someone around to edit the post with the selections we will now leave this up to you to work out, it is simple enough, when the stated closing time has passed then you can decided whether there is a bet or not, each runner will have the number of selections next to it and for each pick it is clear then that is a 1pt stake, so a runner with 3 picks and then two runners with 1 pick apiece would be a 2pt win, if there is not outright pick then it is deemed a No Bet. We advised all bets of £10 per tip clear, so a 2pt win would be a £20 win.
SBB Columns Bloggers Selections
2013 Lennox Stakes: No outright pick last year with both Garswood (1st at 3.49) and Producer (10th at 6.50) receiving one pick apiece.
Tips Entry for SBB Bloggers closes at 2.00pm
Darylrogerson – Amarillo (2 Picks)
Toormore has his best chance for a while, but I’m not convinced at 5/4. I’d say he won the Craven when taking on horses who want further (both 2nd & 3rd have progressed over 10f+), whilst in the Guineas he benefited from dictating a pace on the stands side as the pack following him has similarly been made up of subsequently better middle distance horses. In the St James Palace, Richard Hughes tried to dictate a slower pace from the front and steal it off the bend, which should have suited Toormore’s turn of foot but he was well back in a slow run race.
He does arguably have a touch more class than the field on first look but his price of 5/4 looks drastically short in race where only 4 of the last 13 favourites have won.
Garswood has seemingly had so many chances it’s becoming expensive to keep on his side and now a visor replaces the blinkers after trying a variety of tactics to get him in to his races this season, he just doesn’t seem to get home.
I’m opting for the German raider Amarillo who comes here after comfortably winning a Group 3 at Hamburg over 6 furlongs at the beginning of the month. Prior to that he came over to defend his 2013 win in The John Of Gaunt Stakes at Haydock but was well tailed off in the rear.
He’s a horse though that needs good or faster ground and his form figures of 1622412411 strongly back that up. He has two wins from three races over 7 furlongs on better ground and considering the defeat was a second too the wonderful Moonlight Cloud, the defeat rates just as good or better than anything else in the field has clocked in these conditions.
He travels well and has a good turn of foot, enough to convince me he’s adaptable to suit this tricky course and anyway the race should unfold. 10/1 available in places which makes him appealing value in my eyes.
Zipster – Amarillo (2 Picks)
The past 14 previous winners of this race have all been aged between 3yo – 5yo and then 13 of the past 14 winner had won a race in their last three starts and then 11 of the past 14 winners finished in the first four last time out which gives you Amarillo and Glory Awaits.
Amarillo ran in a G3 last time out and those who did that have a record of 7-50 (14%) whilst Glory Awaits ran in a Listed and those are 1-21 (5%) but then Amarillo ran over 6f (2-31 6%) and Glory Awaits ran over 7f (7-62 11%) so you could give positives and negatives for both.
For me on this ground and over this trip at Goodwood, I have to favour the Schiergen runner Amarillo who has been in good form over in Germany and has been over here to win in the past and the ground will be better suited than his last visit over here.
Gecko – Es Que Love (1 Picks)
Toormore looks a bit skinny and price is heading towards evens now due to Gregorian not making the race; my preference is for GARSWOOD who could just pip the fav and Es Que Love (who can’t quite manage 7 furlongs in this company)
Garswood has been running well and in good races – has Ryan Moore on board today and of course won this race last year as a 3yr old. Last race was a solid effort at Newmarket when 2nd to Gregorian – does seem to prefer some cut so hopefully the surface will be just ok today
Decent shout to topple the short-priced fav here though