Northern Trust Open
Last weeks event was a weak showing but Mickelson and Baddeley my course specialist threatened but faded more than once. Its tricky I had Walker at times last season and now he is truly delivering and I haven’t backed him once.
The West Coast swing continues with this Californian event one of the longest standing on the PGA Tour. The course is a longish par 71, the fairways have a rare grass in these parts and play well finding them is important as the rough is very unforgiving here. Lots of doglegs here and tight greens to find make it an interesting test. Stricker and Mickelson got going quiet well on this course with -16 and -15, but if past two years has thought us anything its that getting into double figures gives an excellent chance of victory.
The par 5s are quiet reachable here and doing well on those is a good help this week. Watch out for the finishing two holes, a birdie chance presents itself at 17, but getting par at 18 is as good as a birdie on 17. Interesting is the amount of play offs due to the tight nature of this event and a bet on that market could pay off.
For the Northern Trust Open I will be looking either for high value picks, anyone lower down in odds need to have been a proven winner for me with such a strong field here.
Paddy Power is going 6 places again a stand out for this as the only one offering the extra place.
Northern Trust Open Selections:
Matt Kuchar 28/1 paddy power – Lead after 1st round last year and as a masters course an then this sort of test going suit. Being in some good shape of late with plenty their about performances.
Kevin Stadler 80/1 various- Finally broke his duck and could carry some momentum into this event. Will like this course from his USC days and one of those players who carries his form.Kuchar comes in tip top and has the talent to win this week
Ryan Moore 30/1 various – Has four top10s from his 6 starts this season. Key to his game is his driving accuracy and his excellent iron play ranking him well in GIR. Placed here before so confirms liking for here.
Bill Haas 28/1 Sportingbet – 3rd last year and a winner the year before that. Needs to find his best form again but this is a place he has loved doing it in the past.
Joost Luiten 130 (betfair) 20 place – Comes from the European tour to play this event for first time. Irons are strong and can be one of best putters around if taking to conditions.