Pertemps Final Hurdle 2014
The Pertemps Final Hurdle is open to runners who are 5yo+ and it is run over three miles, the field is made up of qualifiers from certain races run over the past five months at various courses and as the name states this is the Final! Its a race which can produce some tasty winners, the average SP of the last ten winners is 23.30!
Pertemps Final Hurdle 2014 – Trends
- (16-16) Runners breed in GB or IRE
- (15-16) Aged between 6yo-9yo
- (14-16) Avoid youngest runners or those 5+ older than youngest
- (14-16) Break of between 26-75 days
- (14-16) Ran over at least 2m4f LTO
- (14-16) OR 3lbs+ higher than last win
- (13-16) Carrying no more than 11-2
- (13-16) Favour those outside the first 3 in the market
- (13-16) Ran in at least a class 3 LTO
- (13-16) Previously ran in a Graded race
Additional trends used to eliminate more runners, if beaten last time then 7 of the 9 winners were beaten by 15+ lengths.
Pertemps Final Hurdle 2014 – Trend Selection: Jetson (14/1) & Grand Vision (16/1)
Pertemps Final Hurdle 2014 – Blogger Selections
Zipster – Broadway Buffalo (25/1)
Not been in the greatest of form and has struggled in a couple of handicaps but he is back at a left handed track today which is appealing, his record at left handed tracks reads 5-7 and he was fourth and some three lengths off the winner on his last start at one off a handicap mark of 140 whereas he comes here today off 137. His last two starts have been arguable his worst two performances and the question is whether it is a coincidence that they have been his only two starts at right handed tracks and I am willing to take a chance that a switch back to a left handed track will bring some form back to him today.
gghofman – Grand Vision, On The Bridge (EW Value)
This of course is always going be open race as so many of this weeks handicaps will be. Jetson comes off a best run of course coming on testing ground, up 6lbs since his 3rd to Holywell here last year with quicker ground not likely to improve him. Uncle Jimmy goes up a 7lb that may just halt progress with a better Hobbs horse in mind. Top Wood is up in weights for a simple enough win last time off a break on heavy quicker ground might also hinder.
Henderson can always work his magic when it suits him and Utopie Des Bordes could be his next trick if you like him over others then don’t be put off but let him work his tricks I will back something else. Seefood has some good signs but creeps up weights and with a lack of a jockey booking its worrying that it will be a last minute pick up ride.
Both if in Doubt and Fingal Bay represent strong chance for Hobbs, but both may have cause their prices to beyond value now with little questions.
Value lies in to others. The talented Grand Vision was a 3rd here before injury in Albert Bartlett, that race worked out well enough to suggest his talents are worth sticking with. 3 miles his trip and 2nd run back was an encouraging one and carries a fair weight. On the Bridge is the other who has won before off a long break. Has plenty wins so fights on so great each way shout. Will enjoy this ground.
Darylrogerson – Grand Vision / Mister Dillon (EW)
Grand Vision has been in my tracker since his 3rd in the 2012 Albert Bartlett behind Brisindi Breeze. Unfortunately the winner never saw the track again but the runner up Boston Bob goes for the World Hurdle and holds a rating of 154 whilst 4th & 5th who were 6 and then a further half length back respectively, currently race off 147 and 149. Grand Vision has been brought slowly back up to speed and got what looked like a prep race over shorter at the beginning of February. If showing anything like his best once again he could be very dangerous of this mark of 142.
I’m also going to give a mention to Mister Dillon as an each way bet. A solid 5th here in December off the back of a break and was probably only ran at Musselburgh to get a run into him as he’s generally been campaigned away from softer ground. Stays this far and has proved he handles the course and ground whilst the 5th from his last race was runner up in the opening days last race and potentially should have won having the door closed on him late.