Queen Mother Champion Chase 2014
The Day Two feature is the Queen Mother Champion Chase which is a Grade 1 chase run over two miles where the field will have to contend with twelve fences. The race for the past two years have been won by the combination of Nicky Henderson and Barry Geraghty with Finian’s Rainbow in 2012 and then last year with Sprinter Sacre and Geraghty has now won it for three of the past four year having has success on Big Zeb in 2010 also.
Queen Mother Champion Chase 2014 – Trends
- (16-16) No headgear fitted
- (16-16) Last win was in a Class 1 or OGB
- (15-16) First Five in the betting Market (Ideally First 2)
- (15-16) No Bigger than 10/1
- (14-16) Favour those breed in IRE and FR
- (14-16) Break of between 31-60 days
- (14-16) Finished in the first 3 LTO
- (14-16) Run over no further than 2m1f LTO
- (14-16) Won a race in the past 31-120 days
- (14-16) Trainer must of has a winner in the past 14 days
Queen Mother Champion Chase 2014 – Trend Selection: Sire De Grugy (5/2)
Queen Mother Champion Chase 2014 – Blogger Selections
Zipster – Sire De Grugy
This for me looks the trickiest of the four featured races now that Sprinter Sacre is not running! Sire De Grugy has not done much wrong of late, winner of six of his last seven starts which includes winning the likes of the Tingle Creek, Desert Orchid Chase and the Clarence House last time out but he has been beaten on both previous starts here at Cheltenham but on the evidence of his last three runs, he has never been in better form.
Captain Conan has beaten Sire De Grugy round here in the past, Hinterland would be dangerous to rule out following his rediscovery of form and a couple of the Irish raiders in Arvika Ligeonniere and Baily Green both hold claims. Captain Conan was well held by Sire De Grugy last time out and the fact that I believe it may end up being between the pair I have to side with the favourite to continue his excellent form over fences.
gghofman – Captain Conan (Win), Module (Place)
With Sprinter Sacre out of action this race has opened up. AL is a classy sort, but seen best going left handed both Cheltenham runs have been uninspiring and this is a Queen Mother not a handicap or lesser race. Module looks too big odds wise I see him out performing Somersby and then some here. Has liked this track and worth a saver at 20s. Sire De Grugy is a class horse but one I have always liked best on an Aintree type course. Fact is Cheltenham has been his downhill losing to Kid Cassidy here and Captain Conan also. The ground may also be getting too quick for him this week and Captain Conan has been lightly campaigned with improvement for this one in mind. Trusting trainer going for hat trick has done things as he wants.
Anthony Sherratt – Sire De Grugy
I have come round to this horse after looking at the race, and although plenty has been made of his two defeats both times at Cheltenham, they haven’t been massively below par runs and he should prove far too classy. He has improved massively this term, tasting defeat on only one occasion when trying to concede 10lb to Kid Cassidy here. I can forgive this run however, as he made a significant error early on which wont of helped and he still went close conceding 10lb. Kid Cassidy is only rated 9lb inferior so this looks like a useful run overall. Since he has looked like a top class chaser on both occasions, in the Tingle Creek and most recently in the Clarence House at Ascot, winning in a most impressive manner.
He is top rated of these, he is still improving and I cant see many being good enough to get near him should he be on his A game. Captain Conan beat him over C+D back in 2012, however Sire De Grugy has hugely improved since this run. Although many say Captain Conan is the one to beat and wasn’t fit when they faced in the Tingle Creek, Captain Conan had won on both other occasions he had raced first time up, and for me he can have no excuses as he wasn’t good enough on the day. Sire De Grugy is top of the 2 mile chasing division at the moment and can take this in the absence of Sprinter Sacre.
Gecko – Captain Conan
Henderson will no doubt CC well and truly tuned up and ready for a potentially epic battle with Sire De Grugy – they are well-matched and it’s probably down to whoever gets the best ride today; others will contest this too and Module at a big price looks really interesting for place claims (25/1) CC is a very decent horse and may well win this to really establish himself as a top chaser – the drying ground may just benefit him a bit more than SDG and if he wasnt at his best in December when just beaten by that opponent, then that may well prove to be the difference today. Geraghty on board, should jump well and can see off the favourite here.
Darylrogerson – Hinterland
Paul Nicholls must be confident to send a novice chaser for this race and he looks an very solid improving sort who can go well. He clocked a very good time running nearly 3 seconds faster than Sire De Grugy did on the same course and distance that day so must be very much respected at good odds.