SBBCOLUMNS Bringing You Previews, Reviews and Selections.

Race Of The Day (Friday 2nd August) Betfred Mile

1
Factor Picks Wins Win % Placed Place % ID LSP BF LSP ID TPPT BF TPPT
Flat 79 21 27% 41 52% £8.82 £17.22 £118.40 £266.56
GB 120 37 31% 60 50% £44.47 £66.47 £706.80 £1036.25
Overall 151 46 30% 78 52% £28.05 £50.59 £497.20 £844.05
August 1 0 0% 0 0% £-1.00 £-1.00 £-10.00 £-10.00
Friday 23 8 35% 13 57% £6.39 £10.76 £61.80 £109.55
Goodwood 3 1 33% 2 67% £-0.37 £-0.31 £-7.40 £-6.18
3yo+ Hcp 12 2 17% 4 33% £-1.62 £2.07 £13.80 £87.81
1m 20 3 15% 9 45% £6.83 £8.88 £11.60 £35.74
Class 2 18 6 33% 11 61% £9.19 £11.10 £204.40 £244.37
20+ Runners 2 0 0% 2 100% £-2.00 £-2.00 £-20.00 £-20.00
*TPPT Stands for £10 Per Tip Clear

3.05 Goodwood – Betfred Mile

The statistics for today’s race can be seen above, apart from Overall, Month and Day all data supplied is based on either flat or jumps racing depending on the daily race, the final four columns are Industry LSP (ID LSP), Industry £10 per tip clear (ID TPPT), Betfair LSP (BF LSP) and Betfair £10 per tip clear (BF TPPT), all odds are based on SP. If you wish to view a monthly breakdown of all previous results, you can do so via this link > View Monthly Stats

SBB Race Of The Day Selections

Zipster – Fire Ship
I have this between Fire Ship (14/1) and Asatir (28/1), Saeed Bin Suroor has only had three runners in this race in the past ten years and he has produced a winner and a runner up which is not bad going and sends Asatir here today, a class two winner off 92 at Salisbury two starts ago but was then beaten off 95 last time out at Sandown and comes here off the same mark today and De Sousa returns to the saddle who rode him to success at Salisbury. Fire Ship was a listed winner at Pontefract last time out and is a now a four time winner over the miles trip, last handicap win over this trip came off 92 and he comes here off a mark of 100 today but that impressive win at Pontefract got his season up and running. Both will be fine with the ground although the faster the better for the Bin Suroor runner but I have to just give the edge to Fire Ship, that was an impressive win last time out, he is well drawn today and likes to be up with the pace which is a must in this race so for me today I shall be with Fire Ship.

Darylrogerson – Fire Ship
Draw stats are fairly prevalent in this race. Backing stalls 1-5 over the last 16 years would have provided 11 winners and a profit of +35.50LSP. 
I’m going to chance that from Stall 7 Fire Ship has a good enough chance of getting a good position early with a couple of the lower drawn horses preferring to be held up. 
Beat Gabrial last time out very nicely and that rival was rated 110. Nothing really to question about that rating either as he’s won a Listed mile and ran 3rd twice in Group 3’s this season as well as a good 5th in the Group 2 Summer Mile Stakes at Ascot. Was in receipt of 4lbs from Gabrial but has only been raised 3lbs to 100. I think that underestimates that performance greatly and he’s drawn well with just.

Jaydubs – Cape Peron
Looking through the trends here and Cape Peron fits all of them bar a run in the last month. Drawn in 5, a winner over a mile, arriving via Ascot, winner of a class 3 or above and racing in a handicap lto. It ran a very good race in the Britannia when 5th from a high draw on the firmer ground. Both its previous wins had come on the good to soft ground so the easing to good may well help it here.

SBB RECOMMENDS: £10 win Fire Ship at Betfair SP

(Tips Entry for SBB Bloggers closes at 2.00pm)

About Author

I have been in the betting game for getting on 10 years now, I was a late comer in the betting scene, never really showed much interest in the first 20 years of my life but then I came across a betting website and that all changed. I have learnt a vast amount over the last 5 years, I used to believe I could pick the winner in every race before I realised I could not and began selective betting which is the only way forward. I mainly stick with the horses but do occasionally stray off to bet on the footie or speedway. I am now 35 years old, born and bred in Ipswich and still here and forever a Tractorboy, work part time for a Cash & Carry and have a dog named Dave! That’s about it from me.

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