SBBCOLUMNS Bringing You Previews, Reviews and Selections.

Race Of The Day (Wednesday 31st July) Sussex Stakes

1
Factor Picks Wins Win % Placed Place % ID LSP BF LSP ID TPPT BF TPPT
Flat 78 21 27% 40 51% £9.82 £18.22 £148.4 £296.56
GB 119 37 31% 59 50% £45.47 £67.47 £736.8 £1066.25
Overall 150 46 31% 77 51% £29.05 £51.59 £527.2 £874.05
July 21 4 19% 9 43% £-6.94 £-7.01 £-139.4 £-140.06
Wednesday 21 7 33% 12 57% £18 £20.2 £165 £185.23
Goodwood 2 1 50% 1 50% £0.63 £0.69 £22.6 £23.82
3yo+ NHcp 13 2 15% 5 38% £-7.87 £-7.72 £-126.2 £-124.12
1m 19 3 16% 8 42% £7.83 £9.88 £41.6 £65.74
Group 1 12 3 25% 5 42% £0.71 £1.37 £-19.6 £-9.31
6-8 Runners 32 8 25% 14 44% £5.64 £8.22 £76.4 £122.96
*TPPT Stands for £10 Per Tip Clear

3.05 Goodwood – Sussex Stakes

The statistics for today’s race can be seen above, apart from Overall, Month and Day all data supplied is based on either flat or jumps racing depending on the daily race, the final four columns are Industry LSP (ID LSP), Industry £10 per tip clear (ID TPPT), Betfair LSP (BF LSP) and Betfair £10 per tip clear (BF TPPT), all odds are based on SP. If you wish to view a monthly breakdown of all previous results, you can do so via this link > View Monthly Stats

SBB Race Of The Day Selections

Jaydubs – Dawn Approach
Toronado got a lot closer lto but still couldn’t get past and with the ground softening a little further I would expect this to further play into Dawn Approach’s hands. Its only blot on the its record is the Derby when the questions were answered that it couldn’t stay 12f. The rest of the field seem out of it on the age/weight allowance and with Toronado not being good enough the last twice the better than evens on Dawn Approach would seem a decent price.

Zipster – Dawn Approach
Some people are saying this will be a two horse race between Dawn Approach and Toronado but not for me, this is a three horse race because there is no way that I can overlook Queen Anne Stakes (G1) winner Declaration Of War who was beaten by a very good Al Kazeem last time out but having said that you have to favour the other two as they are 8lbs better off in the weights. These two met in the St James’s Palace Stakes (G1) at Ascot and it was a cracker with the two of them battling it out to the line with Dawn Approach just coming out on top as he put his critics behind him after his Derby flop. Toronado has now finished behind DA on his last two starts although was a hell of lot closer last time out than he was in the 2,000 Guineas but with the rain getting in the ground I personally find it almost impossible to oppose Dawn Approach who has been superb on ground on the softer side of good.

Darylrogerson – Dawn Approach
There were 7 races over a mile at Royal Ascot and unfortunately for Dawn Approach and Toronado their race was only quicker than the Duke Of Cambridge and Coronation Stakes races both female only races whilst the Queen Anne Stakes which Declaration Of War won ran 0.7 second quicker. The sectional times made available suggests that the St James was run at a slower early pace which inevitable suited the turn of foot of Toronado who briefly got to the front before Dawn Approach’s stamina kicked on to see it out and they both finished the mile quicker than Declaration Of War did. I expect under these softer ground conditions, of which he has already shown clear ability to handle, that Dawn Approach’s stamina will see him home today.

SBB RECOMMENDS: £30 Win Dawn Approach at Betfair SP

(Tips Entry for SBB Bloggers closes at 2.00pm)

About Author

I have been in the betting game for getting on 10 years now, I was a late comer in the betting scene, never really showed much interest in the first 20 years of my life but then I came across a betting website and that all changed. I have learnt a vast amount over the last 5 years, I used to believe I could pick the winner in every race before I realised I could not and began selective betting which is the only way forward. I mainly stick with the horses but do occasionally stray off to bet on the footie or speedway. I am now 35 years old, born and bred in Ipswich and still here and forever a Tractorboy, work part time for a Cash & Carry and have a dog named Dave! That’s about it from me.

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