After a good start with the 4 selections yesterday, only a couple look of interest for me on Day Two at Royal Ascot. Undoubtedly Treve should be up to winning the Prince Of Wales Stakes in an authoritative manner but at her odds of 4/6 I won’t be advising her as a bet. Instead both of my bets come in the fillies races’ over a mile, with each way selections in the Duke Of Cambridge Stakes and Sandringham Handicap.
4:25pm Ascot – CERTIFY
Unbeaten in four starts as a juvenile in 2012 including beating three of today’s rivals in Sky Lantern, Purr Along and Masarah. She was very well fancied for last year’s 1000 Guineas until she was one of the horses banned under the Al Zarooni doping scandal. Her comeback couldn’t have gone any better when always in control in a Group 2 mile in Meydan where she came clear with today’s rival L’amour De Ma Vie only requiring being pushed out in the closing stages to win by three quarters of a length.
I’m going to chance her again after she failed to beat the same rivals over 9 furlongs three weeks later as there might have been a bit of a bounce factor about her performance there with nearly 500 days off the track before her prior performance. Despite her under performance as 2/5 favourite she still managed to finish only two and a quarter lengths behind L’amour De Ma Vie. That form has been franked nicely with the runner up Flotilla finishing 3rd in the Group 1 Godolphin Mile on World Cup night only a length behind Variety Club who’s the second highest rated horse in the world and blitzed the field in the Group 1 Champions Mile at Sha Tin last month.
Sky Lantern probably has the edge on the formbook with most of the field with the market favourite, Integral, currently being taken to reverse the form with both the aforementioned and current third favourite, Esoterique. At her current odds of 14/1, Certify is a stand out each way bet for me with a fair bit of form in the book and plenty of ability so I’ll happily back her in this field.
CERTIFY – 2pts each way at 14/1
5:35pm Ascot – CORAL MIST
Caught the the eye of many on debut when getting the hang of things late on and storming home to claim third in a strong Goodwood maiden with 2nd, 4th & 5th all winning their next starts whilst the winner of the race hasn’t managed to get her head back in front she has filled the frame in Listed and Group races. Indeed 10 of the 13 fillies to start that race have since won including the selection who was never in trouble at Haydock on her next start before being delivered perfectly by Tom Queally to get up on the line in a Group 3 at Ayr on her final start last season.
Not disgraced on her reappearance in behind the likes of J Wonder, Al Thakira, Joyeuse and Manderley who look like they’ll be contesting most of the top 3yo filly races this season. She wasn’t particularly strong in the market that day suggesting she wasn’t expected to be fully prepped and she raced in such fashion. She actually looked to start picking up 2 furlongs out but was cut up severely by Joyeuse and lost a few vital lengths and momentum. She wasn’t over worked once the bird had flown but still finished in a pleasing manner and if not having been cut up, I’d wager she’d have finished definitely rivalling 4th & 5th at least.
She looks like she should be very capable of running well off this mark of 99 which could under estimate her ability by a fair few lbs whilst the step up in trip should hold no fear with plenty of stamina coming from her dam’s side. I think she’s likely to be held up which means I’ll be looking for Frankie Dettori, who has already landed two Royal Ascot winners this meeting, to navigate through the large field and that’s where she may come unstuck but at her odds of 25/1 she looks a value choice in this race.
CORAL MIST – 1pt each way at 25/1