Tour De France Stage 13 Preview
So we move on to Tour De France Stage 13, but first lets look quickly back at Stage 12. The sprint had most the candidates in there but Kittel was dropped on one of the late climbs with the team looking like Degenkolb was the main focus anyway. Greipel also hit the deck just about 3km out with Chavanel who he shouted at on the ride to the finish. Chavanel was quick to dispel any truth to him causing the crash. With Talansky not taking the start, De La Cruz joined him on side lines as he crashed out while in the break on a rough corner. A pity for a rider who was looking strong to do well in a break. Ji Cheng the first Chinese rider in the Tour continued on coming home last after doing his share of work during the day. Navarro continued his up down Tour and a top 20 is looking unlikely not for him.
From a stage point of view Kristoff was just too good and held off Sagan with the help of a great lead out by Kristoff. Kristoff had been a bet for us before but I had a concern or two lately, he does however deliver on my 9/4 bet for him to win a stage so that was good. Trentin looked nervous while Degenkolb would could have pushed Kristoff did not really get much of a chance late on as Trentin closed the door on him. Demare who seemed to stutter took home 3rd in a sprint he needs to be winning to justify faith shown in him over Bouhanni.
From a betting point of view I had traded a few but not the winner so it was a small return from that. The advised bets also produced a return with Porte nipping ahead of Nibali at nice odds. The result was a +1.44pts profit for the blog.
Tour De France Stage 13 Preview
We now hit the Alpes for this weekend and Tour De France Stage 13 will see us head almost 200km from St.Etienne to Chamrousse. Expect the riders to be foaming at the mouth after two easier going days and a good nights rest with no transfer for them to worry about. The stage is gentle and most riders should make it to the base of the final climb to Chamrousse. The first climb comes early and will be were the days break will go off, how easily that happens will very much dictate how hard they ride the opening climb. From there its slightly up and down but nothing to worry about till 134km in when they hit the Col De Palaquit. Palaquit is only 6.1% but at 14.1km and with a downhill it will have some steeper sections to worry riders.
The final climb to Chamrousse is 18.2km at 7.3% and a deserving finish. It has some steeper sections and its length will ensure a stern test. With this sort of profile it really looks like one of the GC men can put there stamp on this. Really expect the selection to begin from a few km into the final km. Astana will be key peace setters but as always Sky will take interest in how this is ridden. Ag2r will play the team game no doubt expect them in the days break and then also Peraud and Bardet in behind. The climb to Chamrousse has its two steepest sections early on, for about 3km near the top it goes at 7-9% before easing off at the finish.
It won’t take a genius to figure out Nibali will be favourite for this stage and have to say at 3/1 he was very close to being a bet for me here. He has already shown he is a touch stronger than the rest here and the climb should suit him a lot here. Bardet and Tejay are both talented and there prices are little too big and I prefer to take these four than have just the one in Nibali. I will look to get them in my book for trading too. It might be a day earl but watch Valverde he is ridding to peak for the final week and expect he has big days ahead of him much like Horner might come out to shine now.
Tour De France Stage 13 Bets:
.2pts Thibaut Pinot 14/1 bet365
.2pts Richie Porte 16/1 skybet
.1pts Romain Bardet 33/1 bet365
.1pt Tejay Van Garderen 50/1 bet365
4pts Joquaim Rodriguez to not win 1.14 pinnacle
1.5pts Bardet to beat Peraud 1.78 pinnacle
3pts Van Garderen to beat Mollema 4/6 paddys
2pts Horner to beat Frank Schleck 4/6 ladbrokes, hills
6pts Fugslang to beat Scarponi 8/15 paddys
1.5pts Majka to beat Spilak evens paddys
2pts Kwiatkowski to beat Thomas 2.32 pinnacle
1.5pts Riblon to beat Voeckler 11/8 bet365
2pts Brice Feillu to beat Gautier 1.76 pinnacle