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WC2014: Brazil v Chile and Colombia v Uruguay


Brazil v Chile (17.00 GMT)

The host’s Brazil came through the group finishing on top of the pile with seven points, dosage finishing ahead of Mexico who also finished on seven points. Brazil scored seven goals in the group stages with Neymar leading the way with four goals which puts him at the top of the goalscoring charts with Thomas Mueller and Lionel Messi.

Chile were already into the final sixteen when suffering a 2-0 defeat at the hands of the Netherlands in the final game after wins over both Australia (3-1) and Spain (2-0) and according to the Castrol Index their goalkeeperClaudio Bravo has been their best player with only three goals conceded.

Our Thoughts:


Chile have not beaten Brazil in any game since 2000 when they beat them 3-0 in a World Cup qualifier which means Brazil are unbeaten in their last 12 games against Chile which includes 10 victories over them. Chile came through their group with 2 wins from 3 whilst Brazil were unbeaten in their group. I don’t think it will be comfortable for the hosts but I cannot see past them for this game, online the 1.62 about Brazil to win is not too bad but I believe it will be a close match decided by just a single goal so I will be advising Brazil to win by 1 Goal at 3.90 (Ladbrokes).


Chile are definitely dark horses still in the tournament and if they beat Brazil here there’s a big chance they could go all the way. However, purchase they play quite openly so they’ll have to outscore Brazil and I think they’ll struggle on that respect. Mexico kept it tight against Brazil and they struggled to find the space but in an open match they have the better firepower. Sanchez is the danger man who makes things tick for Chile and he likes to drop deep off the defenders to pick the ball up which has worked against the European sides but the likes of David Luiz are confident enough to follow him and deny him those pockets of space and it will make life tough for Chile.

Should be goals in this one and I’m going for 3-1 or 3-2 to Brazil.


This match is the one I expected having tipped Spain to crash out in the group; Chile have done as I thought and made it through but being 2nd in the group always meant a likely tie with Brazil now – they met in the last WC at the same stage with Brazil winning 3-0

So what to make of Brazil? they seem to be over-reliant on the wonderful Neymar in a similar manner to Argentina and Messi – 4 goals already and the fulcrum of their attack, Neymar may well do enough to carry them along but Chile are capable of exposing Brazil’s defence with the excellent Sanchez likely to be the main man for Chile

Brazil can see off lesser teams fairly routinely but I’m not sure they are that good and I really wouldn’t be surprised if Chile made them really work here for a victory – equally, can Brazil fight back if they go behind? an interesting game and a possible draw at 90 mins for me, possibly 1-1

1-1 is 9.0 at best, the draw 4.55 and Chile +1 AH is a juicy 2.1 or Chile +1.5 AH at 1.6

Colombia v Uruguay (21.00 GMT)

Colombia have come out of their group in style, they went on to success in all three matches, scoring nine goals in the process and only conceding two! They have a couple of the leading scorers charts with James Rodriguez (3) and Jackson Martinez (2) and Rodriguez is also rated (Castrol Index) as the 2nd best Midfielder thus far behind Croatia’s Perisic.

Uruguay could not have got off to a worse start with a shock 3-1 to Costa Rica which did not look as much of a shock when Costa Rica went on to win the group! Wins over both England and Italy saw the Uruguayans qualify behind Costa Rica although Suarez will not be available after returning home following his 4 month ban for his shocking bite on Italian Giorgio Chiellini.

Our Thoughts:


Colombia came through their group with a 100% record and scored plenty of goals yet conceded just two however their group did look one of the most wide open and lack a touch of quality but they got the job done in style whilst Uruguay needed a win over Italy in their final game to make it through. Colombia have only managed one win over Uruguay in the past eight matches. There are usually goals when these two meet and Colombia have been scoring plenty so I shall be playing the overs market in this one and go with Over 2.5 Goals at 2.20 (Various).


After the opening defeat Uruguay have gone to the wire in two tough games against England and Italy. Columbia made some changes to personnel against Japan and still came out 4-1 winners to top the group. I think Columbia will be fresher and have all their top players on song whereas Uruguay have to now cope with the absence of Suarez who’s been a huge asset to their World Cup so far. Forlan will surely come in to replace him but is a shadow of the player he was over the last few tournaments and I think the Columbians will be too strong here and win maybe 3-1.


Colombia have impressed with their confident attacking play whilst Uruguay took advantage of a poor Italy and England and bounced back from an opening defeat to qualify in 2nd in their group

I would expect Uruguay to improve and also to show some backbone as they try to make a point about the ban on Suarez; how this will pan out is anyone’s guess and if Colombia play as they have been, then Uruguay may well follow their talisman out of the tournament

Not a game to be confident with and perhaps nerves will kick in now we are in the KO stage – I think a 0-0 is likely but this is a game to avoid for betting as Colombia may well win at a canter if they remain confident and take the game to their fellow South Americans.

About Author

I have been in the betting game for getting on 10 years now, I was a late comer in the betting scene, never really showed much interest in the first 20 years of my life but then I came across a betting website and that all changed. I have learnt a vast amount over the last 5 years, I used to believe I could pick the winner in every race before I realised I could not and began selective betting which is the only way forward. I mainly stick with the horses but do occasionally stray off to bet on the footie or speedway. I am now 35 years old, born and bred in Ipswich and still here and forever a Tractorboy, work part time for a Cash & Carry and have a dog named Dave! That’s about it from me.

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  1. Pingback: 2014 FIFA World Cup - SBB Selections • SBB Columns

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