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Zipster’s Glorious Goodwood System Picks – Day Five

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2.05 – Sprint Stakes

We kick things off with a 27 runner 6f sprint which will be fast and furious! The Goodwood numbers for this race a decent, they show a profit BUT the other three sets of numbers are not very convincing!

All numbers are based on 3yo+ Handicaps:
At Goodwood – 5-18 (27.78%), 11 Placings (61.11%) for a LSP of £21.50.
For races over 6f – 7-55 (12.73%), 17 Placings (30.91%) for a LSP of -£13.30.
For Class 2 Races – 8-67 (11.94%), 21 Placings (31.34%) for a LSP of -£3.70.
For race with 20+ Runners – 2-33 (6.06%), 6 Placings (18.18%) for a LSP of -£12.00.

System Selection: Take Cover (33/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Take Cover David C Griffiths David Probert 7.78%
2nd Links Drive Lady Dean Ivory Joe Fanning 6.90%
3rd Picture Dealer Gary Moore James Doyle 6.40%
4th Above Standard Michael Easterby Daniel Tudhope 5.74%
5th Enrol Sir Michael Stoute Ryan Moore 5.65%
6th Milly’s Gift Clive Cox William Buick 5.04%
7th Nassau Storm William Knight Neil Callan 4.69%
8th Tax Free David Nicholls Oisin Murphy (7) 4.47%
9th Seeking Magic Clive Cox Ryan Tate (5) 4.14%
10th Tarooq Stuart Williams Harry Bentley 3.99%
11th Personal Touch Richard Fahey Paul Hanagan 3.82%
12th Charlotte Rosina Roger Teal Jamie Spencer 3.58%
13th Sacrosanctus Scott Dixon Tom Queally 3.46%
14th Goldream Robert Cowell Jim Crowley 3.23%
15th Alnoomaas Luke Dace Jimmy Quinn 2.88%
16th Out Do Luca Cumani Kieren Fallon 2.86%
17th Noverre To Go Ronald Harris Cathy Gannon 2.77%
18th La Fortunata Mike Murphy Michael J M Murphy (5) 2.69%
19th El Viento Richard Fahey George Chaloner (5) 2.61%
20th Piscean Tom Keddy Royston Ffrench 2.38%
21st Dominate Richard Hannon Richard Hughes 2.35%
22nd Best Trip Brian Ellison Silvestre De Sousa 2.34%
23rd Chooseday Kevin Ryan Graham Lee 2.19%
24th Yeeoow Mrs K Burke Martin Harley 2.19%
25th Baby Strange Derek Shaw Adam McLean (7) 2.14%
26th Apollo D’Negro Clive Cox Steve Drowne 1.90%
27th Arctic Feeling Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton 1.81%

 

2.40 – RAC Stakes

The next race is the RAC Stakes which is a handicap open to 3yo onlys, it will be run over 1m4f with 11 runners contesting for the prize money, System numbers do not make good reading!

All numbers are based on 3yo Handicaps:
At Goodwood – 2-15 (13.33%), 5 Placings (33.33%) for a LSP of -£4.67.
For races over 1m4f – 5-16 (31.25%), 8 Placings (50%) for a LSP of £12.85.
For Class 2 Races – 3-29 (10.34%), 9 Placings (31.03%) for a LSP of £6.50.
For race with 10-12 Runners – 14-91 (15.38%), 42 Placings (46.15%) for a LSP of -£17.13.

System Selection: Havana Cooler (5/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Havana Cooler Luca Cumani Kieren Fallon 17.90%
2nd Bold Sniper Sir Michael Stoute Ryan Moore 15.29%
3rd Royal Signaller Amanda Perrett Martin Dwyer 12.21%
4th Elidor Mick Channon Martin Harley 11.02%
5th London Bridge Jo Hughes Paul Hanagan 10.87%
6th Van Percy Andrew Balding Cathy Gannon 7.63%
7th Royal Skies Mark Johnston Joe Fanning 6.90%
8th Pitchoun Mark Johnston William Buick 5.30%
9th Salutation Mark Johnston Silvestre De Sousa 5.26%
10th Shrewd Michael Bell Jamie Spencer 4.46%
11th Pether’s Moon Richard Hannon Richard Hughes 3.17%

 

3.50 – Stewards Cup

We skipped the Nassau Stakes as the race did not pass the rule of all runners having made 3+ starts and we move on to the Stewards Cup, 28 runners sprinting over 6f trip, just like the first this is going to be fast and furious! and just like the first two the numbers are not great!

All numbers are based on 3yo+ Handicaps:
At Goodwood – 5-18 (27.78%), 11 Placings (61.11%) for a LSP of £21.50.
For races over 6f – 7-55 (12.73%), 17 Placings (30.91%) for a LSP of -£13.30.
For Class 2 Races – 8-67 (11.94%), 21 Placings (31.34%) for a LSP of -£3.70.
For race with 20+ Runners – 2-33 (6.06%), 6 Placings (18.18%) for a LSP of -£12.00.

System Selection: Tropics (8/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Tropics Dean Ivory Jim Crowley 9.37%
2nd Heaven’s Guest Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton 6.71%
3rd York Glory Kevin Ryan Jamie Spencer 6.56%
4th Hoof It Michael Easterby Kieren Fallon 6.34%
5th Blaine Kevin Ryan Joe Fanning 5.30%
6th Ninjago Richard Hannon Richard Hughes 4.97%
7th Hawkeyethenoo Jim Goldie Graham Lee 4.20%
8th Prodigality Ronald Harris Tom Queally 4.19%
9th Free Zone Bryan Smart Royston Ffrench 4.13%
10th Louis The Pious David O´Meara Daniel Tudhope 3.74%
11th Humidor George Baker Pat Cosgrave 3.46%
12th Polski Max Richard Fahey George Chaloner (5) 3.06%
13th Ajjaadd Ted Powell William Twiston-Davies (3) 3.03%
14th Face The Problem Jamie Osborne James Doyle 2.98%
15th Dr Red Eye Scott Dixon Silvestre De Sousa 2.78%
16th Dinkum Diamond Henry Candy Cathy Gannon 2.71%
17th Rex Imperator William Haggas Neil Callan 2.64%
18th Regal Parade Milton Bradley Matthew Lawson (5) 2.61%
19th Whozthecat Declan Carroll Luke Leadbitter (7) 2.61%
20th Harrison George P J O´Gorman Rosie Jessop (3) 2.44%
21st Barnet Fair Richard Guest David Probert 2.42%
22nd Tiddliwinks Kevin Ryan Brian Hughes 2.41%
23rd Shropshire Charles Hills Ryan Moore 2.28%
24th Mac’s Power Willie Musson William Buick 2.09%
25th Racy Brian Ellison Harry Bentley 2.01%
26th Pabusar Jamie Osborne Martin Dwyer 1.79%
27th Burwaaz Ed Dunlop Paul Hanagan 1.64%
28th Secret Witness Ronald Harris Martin Harley 1.54%

 

5.35 – Telegraph Stakes

We skip a couple of 2yo races which are not rated with the system and move on to the finale, this is a class three handicap over 5f and we have a smaller field here with just 12 runners. 5f and younger runners is one of the best combinations for the system although this race only shows a 20% strike rate but winners are in double figures in both the trip and class categories.

All numbers are based on 3yo Handicaps:
At Goodwood – 2-15 (13.33%), 5 Placings (33.33%) for a LSP of -£4.67.
For races over 5f – 11-34 (32.35%), 16 Placings (47.06%) for a LSP of £12.34.
For Class 2 Races – 11-47 (23.4%), 21 Placings (44.68%) for a LSP of £2.42.
For race with 11-13 Runners – 5-64 (7.81%), 26 Placings (40.63%) for a LSP of -£24.75.

System Selection: Holley Shiftwell (TBA)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Holley Shiftwell Stuart Williams Paul Hanagan 20.75%
2nd The Art Of Racing Olly Stevens Harry Bentley 12.74%
3rd Lexington Place David O´Meara Daniel Tudhope 12.42%
4th Shore Step Mick Channon Martin Harley 11.60%
5th Extrasolar Amanda Perrett James Doyle 10.96%
6th Pixilated Gay Kelleway Richard Hughes 9.56%
7th Vincentti Ronald Harris Tom Queally 8.94%
8th Jadanna James Given Graham Lee 5.41%
9th Miss Diva Richard Hannon Ryan Moore 3.68%
10th Normal Equilibrium Robert Cowell Jamie Spencer 2.55%
11th Jillnextdoor Mick Channon Silvestre De Sousa 1.39%
12th Pal Of The Cat Brian Gubby Jimmy Quinn 0.00%

 

About Author

I have been in the betting game for getting on 10 years now, I was a late comer in the betting scene, never really showed much interest in the first 20 years of my life but then I came across a betting website and that all changed. I have learnt a vast amount over the last 5 years, I used to believe I could pick the winner in every race before I realised I could not and began selective betting which is the only way forward. I mainly stick with the horses but do occasionally stray off to bet on the footie or speedway. I am now 35 years old, born and bred in Ipswich and still here and forever a Tractorboy, work part time for a Cash & Carry and have a dog named Dave! That’s about it from me.

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