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Zipster’s Glorious Goodwood System Picks – Day Four

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1.55 Glorious Stakes

This race is a 4yo+ Non Handicap which the system is yet to produce a winner for at Goodwood (0-6) although 5 of the 6 (83%) have finished inside the places, for Non Handicaps over 1m4f the system has a record of 8-30 (27%) for a LSP of -9.47, 19-30 (63%) have finished in the places. For Group 3 races the system is 22-69 (32%) for a LSP of +18.57 and 57% (39-69) have placed whilst Non Handicaps with fields of 6-8 runners have produced 43 from 141 (31%) for a LSP of -10.03 and 57% have placed (80-141).

System Selection: Masterstroke (2/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Masterstroke Charlie Appleby Mickael Barzalona 22.28%
2nd Aiken John Gosden William Buick 21.27%
3rd Sheikhzayedroad David Simcock Martin Lane 16.99%
4th Montaser David Simcock Jim Crowley 14.83%
5th Forgotten Voice Nicky Henderson Johnny Murtagh 8.83%
6th Mijhaar Roger Varian Andrea Atzeni 8.22%
7th Lost In The Moment Saeed bin Suroor Silvestre De Sousa 7.58%

 

2.30 Thoroughbred Stakes

The second race today is a 3yo Non Handicap which once again the system has not produced a winner for at Goodwood (0-3) and has not even produced a place! This race is over a mile which the system for non handicaps is 13-44 (30%) for a LSP of -8.70 and 52% of them (23-44) have gone on to place. This is also a Group 3 as the first race so “Group 3 races the system is 22-69 (32%) for a LSP of +18.57 and 57% (39-69) have placed” and for non handicaps with 7-9 runners the system is 42-159 (26%) -22.54 with a place strike rate of 57% (91-159).

System Selection: Snowboarder (11/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Snowboarder Charlie Appleby Mickael Barzalona 20.97%
2nd Baltic Knight Richard Hannon Ryan Moore 17.9%
3rd Montiridge Richard Hannon Richard Hughes 17.76%
4th Anna’s Pearl Ralph Beckett Jamie Spencer 12.36%
5th Tawhid Saeed bin Suroor Silvestre De Sousa 12.06%
6th Well Acquainted Clive Cox James Doyle 10.95%
7th Whipper’s Boy Brian Meehan Kieren Fallon 5.33%
8th Glory Awaits Kevin Ryan Neil Callan 2.66%

 

3.05 – Betfred Mile

The first handicap of the day is the Race Of The Day, it is a 3yo+ Handicap which have a record of 5-17 (29%) at Goodwood for a LSP of +22.50, 11-17 (65%) have finished in the places, for Handicaps over a mile the system is 18-93 (19%) +9.71 and 34 (37%) have placed whilst Class 2 Handicaps are 15-137 (11%) -16.82 with a place strike rate of 31% (42). Larger fields do not usually go down well with the system and for handicaps with 20+ runners the system has just a 7% strike rate (4-54) and a 20% place rate (11) for a LSP of -19.17.

System Selection: Haafaguinea (16/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Haafaguinea Clive Cox John Fahy 12.23%
2nd Brendan Brackan G M Lyons Colin Keane5 7.15%
3rd Boom And Bust Marcus Tregoning DOUBTFUL 6.82%
4th Stirring Ballad Andrew Balding David Probert 6.18%
5th Galician Mark Johnston Joe Fanning 6.02%
6th Fire Ship William Knight Neil Callan 5.77%
7th Sirius Prospect Dean Ivory Jim Crowley 5.18%
8th Wentworth Richard Hannon Richard Hughes 4.54%
9th St Moritz David O´Meara Paul Hanagan 4.45%
10th Cape Peron Henry Candy Dane O’Neill 4.1%
11th Asatir Saeed bin Suroor Silvestre De Sousa 4.07%
12th Boots And Spurs Mrs K Burke DOUBTFUL 4.01%
13th Two For Two David O´Meara Daniel Tudhope 3.9%
14th Windhoek Mark Johnston Franny Norton 3.57%
15th Spa’s Dancer James Eustace Tom Queally 3.47%
16th Set The Trend David O´Meara Kieren Fallon 3.33%
17th Dance And Dance Ed Vaughan Ryan Moore 3.26%
18th Dream Tune Clive Cox James Doyle 2.84%
19th Field Of Dream Jamie Osborne William Buick 2.51%
20th Es Que Love Mark Johnston Johnny Murtagh 2.37%
21st Captain Bertie Jane Chapple-Hyam Frankie Dettori 2.3%
22nd Sandagiyr Saeed bin Suroor Mickael Barzalona 1.92%

 

3.40 – King George Stakes

Back to the Non Handicaps and this one is a 3yo+ race which at Goodwood are 4-24 (17%) -18.10 with a 54% place rate (13), we drop down to 5f for this race which in non handicaps are 3-24 (13%) -13.75 and the place rate is just 17% (4). Group 2 races have produced 13 winners from 53 top rated selections (25%) but show a loss of -7.89 (47% placed) whilst non handicaps with 16+ runners have a dreadful record of just 1 winner from 20 (5%) for a LSP of -12.00 and only 4 (20%) have placed.

System Selection: Jwala (16/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st Jwala Robert Cowell Steve Drowne 9.52%
2nd Tickled Pink Lady Cecil Tom Queally 8.69%
3rd Bettolle Marco Botti Frankie Dettori 7.66%
4th Moviesta Bryan Smart Paul Mulrennan 6.96%
5th Duke Of Firenze Sir Michael Stoute Ryan Moore 6.75%
6th Definightly Roger Charlton Johnny Murtagh 6.51%
7th Masamah Marco Botti Neil Callan 6.48%
8th Ladies Are Forever Geoffrey Oldroyd Paul Hanagan 6.33%
9th Bungle Inthejungle Mick Channon Martin Harley 5.96%
10th Borderlescott Robin Bastiman Silvestre De Sousa 5.6%
11th Kingsgate Native Robert Cowell Shane Kelly 4.36%
12th Spirit Quartz Robert Cowell Jamie Spencer 4.28%
13th Medicean Man Jeremy Gask James Doyle 4.03%
14th Justineo Roger Varian Andrea Atzeni 3.81%
15th Glass Office David Simcock Jim Crowley 3.81%
16th Smoothtalkinrascal David O´Meara Daniel Tudhope 3.74%
17th Swiss Spirit John Gosden William Buick 3.44%
18th Elusivity David O´Meara Kieren Fallon 2.06%

 

4.50 – Oak Tree Stakes

Another 3yo+ Non Handicap like that last race so the stats are “3yo+ race which at Goodwood are 4-24 (17%) -18.10 with a 54% place rate (13)”, this one is over 7f which for non handicaps has a record of 8-27 (30%) -5.00 and a 52% place strike rate (14) whilst like the first two races, this is a Group 3 so the numbers are “Group 3 races the system is 22-69 (32%) for a LSP of +18.57 and 57% (39-69) have placed”. We have 14 runners here, none handicaps with 13-15 runners have a strike rate of 14% (5-35) and a place rate of 40% 14-35) for a LSP of -23.85.

System Selection: How’s Life (50/1)

Ranked Runner Trainer Jockey Score
1st How’s Life Kevin Ryan Paul Mulrennan 10.23%
2nd Winning Express Ed McMahon Franny Norton 10.02%
3rd Shuruq Saeed bin Suroor Silvestre De Sousa 9.2%
4th Ollie Olga Mick Channon Martin Harley 9.03%
5th Pavlosk Sir Michael Stoute Ryan Moore 9%
6th Annecdote Jonathan Portman Richard Kingscote 8.46%
7th The Gold Cheongsam Jeremy Noseda Paul Hanagan 7.66%
8th Woodland Aria John Gosden William Buick 7.66%
9th Ladyship Sir Michael Stoute Kieren Fallon 7.07%
10th Indignant Richard Hannon Richard Hughes 5.85%
11th Victrix Ludorum Richard Hannon Pat Dobbs 5.08%
12th Agent Allison Peter Chapple-Hyam Jim Crowley 4.18%
13th Nargys Luca Cumani Jamie Spencer 3.48%
14th Instance Jeremy Noseda Frankie Dettori 3.09%

About Author

I have been in the betting game for getting on 10 years now, I was a late comer in the betting scene, never really showed much interest in the first 20 years of my life but then I came across a betting website and that all changed. I have learnt a vast amount over the last 5 years, I used to believe I could pick the winner in every race before I realised I could not and began selective betting which is the only way forward. I mainly stick with the horses but do occasionally stray off to bet on the footie or speedway. I am now 35 years old, born and bred in Ipswich and still here and forever a Tractorboy, work part time for a Cash & Carry and have a dog named Dave! That’s about it from me.

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